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| Sure, but they also have countertrends... such as a HUGE problem looming related to aging population (thanks 1 child policy) and related welfare liabilities, increasing wage costs (reducing ability to build economy on export as opposed to consumption), etc. | |
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Definately, China has many issues and they have lots of debt as well at the local level which will cause them a severe headache - even a possibility of a bust. Also they have way overdone it on the capacity side and have assisted in many malinvestments. I just think, they have a lot more opportunity to grow their economies than many western countries going forward, most of which are loaded with debt, have poor savings rates and/or discouraging savings and a society looking to government to assist in the future. These will be huge pressures not to mention also an aging population and a growing welfare state which now includes bailing out corporations, all that needs to be paid for. Even when i look at countries that may be stronger like Germany, well they are tied to the Eurozone, so they will be impacted by that. China will have many problems and one doesnt even know where to begin, but when I look at Europe.... The sovereign debt issue in Europe is a very big deal and the domino effect of that is spreading. Im not very positive on China, im just negative on Europe. I live here so i hope thats not going to be the case. Just my 2 cents though