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| for me, it has been clear for years that greece will either outright default or (more likely) re-structure, which i guess is really just a euphemism for default anyway. the only question is of timing.
i think the euro will get a kicking when the default comes. but will this be the low for the euro, or will that come with the irish (spanish?) crisis/default? | |
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euro looks quite stable today, surprising for me.
Myself I foresee a gradual slide down of the euro versus CHF until all the shaky countries have fixed their economies or a bigger fall if one of the shaky countries really crashes. But one never really knows what risks people have taken account of in current euro exchange rates which could account for today's stability.
Then a slow recovery after the shaky countries have fixed their economies.
Other people have a simpler view which is "why should the euro be worth more than the US$"'