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View Poll Results: What would you personally prefer to happen?
I want the UK to stay in an ever-closer union 49 23.11%
I want the UK to stay in a loosely connected EU 68 32.08%
I want the UK out because the EU is bad for the UK 22 10.38%
I want the UK out because the EU is a bad thing 23 10.85%
I want the UK out because this would be good for the rest of us 17 8.02%
I don't really care 33 15.57%
Voters: 212. You may not vote on this poll

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  #5961  
Old 19.10.2016, 17:59
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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UK inflation at 1%!
Rising prices for clothes, hotel rooms and petrol have led to the highest rate of inflation in nearly two years, official figures show.
Inflation rose to 1.0% in September, up from 0.6% in August.
I don't think that's the falling pound, that won't manifest itself in inflation figures before next year. The rising oil price earlier this year looks like a much more probably cause.
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  #5962  
Old 19.10.2016, 18:38
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Anyway sterling is up after today's news; "Parliament has the right to reject the final Brexit deal, No.10 has indicated for the first time – raising the possibility that Britain’s EU exit could yet be halted.
So how would that work? The UK invokes article 50 and there is no provision for a withdrawal in treaty. That is exactly why the EU require it to be invoked before the negotiation starts.

The EU intends to establish it own military capability, it's border force (which I think has already kicked off) etc.... do you really thing they will be happy to let the UK back in only to have start objecting and holding up their progress????
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  #5963  
Old 19.10.2016, 18:56
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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I doubt the UK's revered leaders could organise a piss-up in a brewery?

Anyway sterling is up after today's news; "Parliament has the right to reject the final Brexit deal, No.10 has indicated for the first time – raising the possibility that Britain’s EU exit could yet be halted.

Downing Street agreed it is “very likely” that MPs and peers will be given a vote once the withdrawal negotiations are finished, after the issue arose in the High Court."

Source
It won't be halted whether any deal is rejected or not. Once Article 50 is invoked the UK is out in 2 years with or without a deal.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the...rticle-50.html

I can't see them unanimously agreeing to extend the period unless they're very close to an agreement. Certainly if Parliament rejects any deal, they won't bother.
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  #5964  
Old 19.10.2016, 23:14
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

And the single market might not even be part of the agreement. Divorce first, trade agreement second.

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-37703670
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  #5965  
Old 20.10.2016, 00:18
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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So how would that work? The UK invokes article 50 and there is no provision for a withdrawal in treaty. That is exactly why the EU require it to be invoked before the negotiation starts.

The EU intends to establish it own military capability, it's border force (which I think has already kicked off) etc.... do you really thing they will be happy to let the UK back in only to have start objecting and holding up their progress????
I assume the newspaper got confused between the UK Parliament being allowed to vote before Art. 50 is invoked; which is the topic of the court case mentioned.
And the UK Parliament being allowed to vote on the result of the negotiations.

The first case could stop Brexit, the second case would just make the mess even deeper
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  #5966  
Old 20.10.2016, 09:34
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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It won't be halted whether any deal is rejected or not. Once Article 50 is invoked the UK is out in 2 years with or without a deal.
§50(1). If it is agreed nationally that parliament approval is necessary, it can be claimed that the invoking isn't in accordance with the (luckily unwritten) constitution until approval has been given.
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  #5967  
Old 20.10.2016, 09:48
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

Back to Parliament going against the will of the people again. We said out and we mean out! Enough for me to say the PM can invoke without Parliament's interference.
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  #5968  
Old 20.10.2016, 12:40
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Back to Parliament going against the will of the people again. We said out and we mean out! Enough for me to say the PM can invoke without Parliament's interference.
Well it was a non binding referendum so the PM possibly risks being impeached if she invokes Art. 50 without Parliament.
Will be interesting to see the result of the court case currently underway on this topic.
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  #5969  
Old 20.10.2016, 12:45
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

And MPs risk deselection.
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  #5970  
Old 20.10.2016, 12:52
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

https://www.ft.com/content/36a2296c-...e-bcd69f323a8b

Berlin and Paris want to start talks early, but stubbornly refuse to start talks before notification is given
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  #5971  
Old 20.10.2016, 12:57
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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https://www.ft.com/content/36a2296c-...e-bcd69f323a8b

Berlin and Paris want to start talks early, but stubbornly refuse to start talks before notification is given
Why the rolling eyes? As you must by now know (as it's been stated in this thread multiple times) it is legally forbidden.
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  #5972  
Old 20.10.2016, 13:02
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Why the rolling eyes? As you must by now know (as it's been stated in this thread multiple times) it is legally forbidden.
Maybe it isn't legally forbidden to demand another country invoke article 50, but it's not really good style either.

Especially seeing, as has also become clear on this thread, that it's not that simple and that both houses of parliament are going to have to debate and approve first.
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  #5973  
Old 20.10.2016, 13:08
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

I'm wonder what makes Mr Holland thinks that the UK owes him any favours after stating that Britain should be threatened and made to pay a price for Brexit?

I rather think that the Brexit timing should be to damage his chances as much as possible and support Le Pen who congratulated the UK on Brexit and may be better for the UK in the upcoming negotiations.
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  #5974  
Old 20.10.2016, 13:11
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Why the rolling eyes? As you must by now know (as it's been stated in this thread multiple times) it is legally forbidden.
where has this been stated?
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  #5975  
Old 20.10.2016, 13:19
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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I'm wonder what makes Mr Holland thinks that the UK owes him any favours after stating that Britain should be threatened and made to pay a price for Brexit?

I rather think that the Brexit timing should be to damage his chances as much as possible and support Le Pen who congratulated the UK on Brexit and may be better for the UK in the upcoming negotiations.
Oh I think he's managed to do that quite well all on his own.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37702917

"A President Should Not Say That" - no, they really shouldn't. Certainly not to journalists planning to write a book.
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  #5976  
Old 20.10.2016, 13:23
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

I would suggest notification on 25 March 2017
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  #5977  
Old 20.10.2016, 14:21
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

Working-class UK: will Brexit bring change? | Focus on Europe

youtube.com/watch?v=K-99GrQa5m4

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  #5978  
Old 20.10.2016, 14:37
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Back to Parliament going against the will of the people again. We said out and we mean out! Enough for me to say the PM can invoke without Parliament's interference.
: and what does out mean?

Are you quite sure everyone who voted leave looked at it the same way as you?

Parliament needs full control over procedings and then once a deal is reached we need another referendum to confirm that this is what we want.
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  #5979  
Old 20.10.2016, 15:20
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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And MPs risk deselection.
Funny, some people claim Brexit was about sovereignty not immigration.
Now we are facing possibly the most important decision of the century and you want to avoid the formal involvement of Parliament.

So what did you vote for exactly?

Probably many anti Corbyn MPs are facing deselection despite Brexit!

Anyway the next general election is four years away and people have short memories
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  #5980  
Old 20.10.2016, 15:25
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Maybe it isn't legally forbidden to demand another country invoke article 50, but it's not really good style either.

Especially seeing, as has also become clear on this thread, that it's not that simple and that both houses of parliament are going to have to debate and approve first.

Why should the rest of Europe have to put up with all the uncertainty around Brexit and wait? The rules re negotiations have always been crystal clear- long before the vote.

Last edited by Odile; 20.10.2016 at 16:28.
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