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Old 25.01.2016, 15:57
NomadAmericano NomadAmericano is offline
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Re: Do you believe in Merkel?

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This has been said about the U.K. many times over the decades and found to be false. What they did find is that when immigrant families assimilated, they tended to have smaller families, in line with the rest of the populace, so the growth was more proportional.
You make a good point about predictions (especially regarding demographics). However, in this case the numbers are more concrete than the UK scenarios. For instance:

"Uwe Brandl, the President of the Bavarian Association of Municipalities, has been running the numbers:

Germany's Muslim population is set to nearly quadruple to an astonishing 20 million within the next five years, according to a demographic forecast by Bavarian lawmakers.

The German government expects to receive 1.5 million asylum seekers in 2015, and possibly even more in 2016. After factoring in family reunifications -- based on the assumption that individuals whose asylum applications are approved will subsequently bring an average of four additional family members to Germany -- that number will swell exponentially. This is in addition to the 5.8 million Muslims already living in Germany.

So from 5.8 million out of a population of 81 million, Muslims will now number 20 million out of a population of some 95 million.

Germans have a fertility rate of 1.3 children per couple. European Muslims are estimated to have approximately 3.5. Let's keep the math simple with nice round numbers:

Total population: 100 million.
Native Germans: 80 million.
Muslims: 20 million.

The 80 million Germans will have 52 million children and 34 million grandchildren. The 20 million Muslims will have 35 million children and 61 million grandchildren. So in two generations there will be twice as many Muslims as Germans. And that's without a single new immigrant after December 2016[...]

Herr Brandl calls this "a demographic shift of epic proportions, one that will change the face of Germany forever"."

Cite: http://www.steynonline.com/7272/mani...-new-wild-west

and...

"The German Chancellor cut to the chase and imported in twelve months 1.1 million Muslim "refugees". That doesn't sound an awful lot out of 80 million Germans, but, in fact, the 1.1 million Muslim are overwhelmingly (80 per cent plus) fit, virile, young men. Germany has fewer than ten million people in the same population cohort, among whom Muslims are already over-represented: the median age of Germans as a whole is 46, the median age of German Muslims is 34. But let's keep the numbers simple, and assume that of those ten million young Germans half of them are ethnic German males. Frau Merkel is still planning to bring in another million "refugees" this year. So by the end of 2016 she will have imported a population equivalent to 40 per cent of Germany's existing young male cohort. The future is here now: It's not about "predictions"." [My emphasis added.]

Cite: http://www.steynonline.com/7428/it-s...ography-stupid
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