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Old 27.06.2016, 17:41
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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The EU is not quite a cohesive organization. With 27 members, its fairly easy to incapacitate. That means it has 27 weak spots. It only needs a few dissenting members to grind it to a halt. It isn't known for quick decisive actions. They may have strategised for a quick Article 50, while the script is fresh in their minds. Which is why the UK should delay Article 50 to disrupt the EU's game plan. There will be new factors in a few months time that changes the balance.

Before Article 50, the UK should start holding bilateral talks with individual countries. Talk about Gibraltar with Spain, car imports with Germany, etc. They'll need all the leverage they can get before they come to the negotiating table. Wait until they have a good hand before invoking Article 50.

In the game of poker, you don't try to win every single hand dealt to you. You wait until you have a the rare good hand before you go in.
"The EU is not quite a cohesive organization." Indeed, any one of the 28 members could block or change a proposed deal between the EU and the UK.
Just needs one EU country to be unhappy with us to block everything; consequently their leverage is enormous.
For example, Ireland is likely to face increased costs and administration managing the land border so could demand the UK pay for this?
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