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Old 27.06.2016, 18:10
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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"The EU is not quite a cohesive organization." Indeed, any one of the 28 members could block or change a proposed deal between the EU and the UK.
Just needs one EU country to be unhappy with us to block everything; consequently their leverage is enormous.
For example, Ireland is likely to face increased costs and administration managing the land border so could demand the UK pay for this?
I think you don't realize what the EU treaties have stated for this case.
If there is no agreement reached, meaning an agreement approved by the UK and each one of the 27 EU members, then the UK is automatically out 2 years after article 50 has been triggered, without any special deal. Just out.
It may be anybody, e.g. Spain. If Spain, because of Gibraltar, refuses to ratify any agreement reached, then said agreement is void and the UK is out 2 years later.
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