View Single Post
  #6315  
Old 03.11.2016, 15:20
Cata1yst's Avatar
Cata1yst Cata1yst is offline
Forum Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Zugish
Posts: 565
Groaned at 18 Times in 10 Posts
Thanked 726 Times in 330 Posts
Cata1yst has a reputation beyond reputeCata1yst has a reputation beyond reputeCata1yst has a reputation beyond reputeCata1yst has a reputation beyond repute
Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

Quote:
View Post
Actually it doesn't as the referendum districts do not match single parliamentary constituencies. In particular, pretty well all city referendum districts comprised multiple constituencies (particularly London) wheras country districts usually contained just one.

I've not seen any attempt to convert the referendum result into parliamentary constituencies (and can't be bothered to do so myself) but I am pretty sure, as with the referendum result itself, it would be pretty close. Given the relative oversupply of Scottish MPs probably very close.
More generally, this exercise allows us to make the following claims:

421 out of 574 English and Welsh constituencies probably voted to Leave

Of these, 270 English and Welsh constituencies almost definitely voted to Leave

152 constituencies probably voted to Remain.

Of these, half (76) almost definitely voted to Remain.

https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/th...0e1#.ieb57ahe0
Reply With Quote