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Old 09.11.2016, 20:28
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Re: Will Hillary Clinton run for president again?

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Its accuracy is the failure in itself. As for the various methodologies they used, a monkey in China proved to be more accurate.

I believe pollsters have been convening on how they got this and Brexit so wrong. I'm are there are articles and up coming papers on it. I suspect it is simply the human factor of unpredictability.
I don't think so. You're looking for collusion where none exists. And the polls were close with respect to popular vote, but failed on electoral college.

There is a degree of uncertainty inherent in all estimation. I believe modeling turnout may be the sticking point.

This could drive poll aggregators to use more open source methods. And yes, I expect it's a topic that will be studied.
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