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Old 16.01.2017, 13:13
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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The message here is that the US has the UK's back. You can thank Farage for this.

The UK has a strong hand against the EU. They're slowly coming to the realisation that the EU has more to lose than the UK. The EU also admitted they need access to London.

The EU wall is cracking. It's the EU that is beginning to feel the squeeze. Do you not smell blood? I wouldn't settle for hardline EU terms. Playing this for a little more time is in the UK's favor.
Absolutely.

And 2017 is going to be the year of change. Merkel still lives the illusion she could win another election, but she's pretty much alone there. The CDU could at best become the junior coalition party behind the SPD whose leaders right now are basically a bunch of opportunists. I'd say as far as Germany is concerned, the future is still very much open. But I believe that in the long run, the pragmatists always win in Germany, and that means they will accept and work with Trump rather than opposing him at every turn. But I said in the long run. It may cost some years of agony until that filters through and certain people agree to eat their humble pies. In France the establishment seems to think it would already be a success if they could prevent Marine being elected. Nobody is thinking beyond that right now. So the left are prepared to rally behind Fillon who might will either turn out to be a dangerous right wing lunatic, or a shrewd populist and pragmatist. But then of course he might also lose.

In comparison, the Uk doesn't look as screwed as all that.
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