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Old 23.04.2017, 22:48
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Couple of quick points:

-- There were no "promises" made on deliverables because everything is subject to negotiations which haven't even started yet, never mind concluded.

-- There were certainly no promises made by "her party" as it was a free vote. Most prominent Tories campaigned to Remain, but there was no party line at all.

-- "Customs union" wasn't even mentioned in any of the campaigning, that I can recall. Certainly nothing that hit the headlines.

-- The EU have made it very clear that they are not going to allow the UK to remain in the single market, so it's pointless stating that this is an aim. They aim to get the best deal, as in any negotiation. If they allow us to keep some of the single market advantages, that would be nice, but it seems unlikely from what they've said.

-- There will be a limit on EU immigration, for sure, but again this has to be negotiated. Most likely is a normal non-EU model where you recruit from outside the country when the position cannot be filled locally at the going rate.

-- 2020 election date was nothing to do with the Brexit campaign. Labour forced her hand when they recently stated that they would vote against any deal in 2019 (by insisting on conditions they know are unachievable). It would need only 5 or 6 Tories to vote with the opposition, and this is likely as there are already that number who remain publicly opposed to the UK leaving. It's an open invitation for the EU side to drive an even worse bargain for the UK, as this will increase the chances of it being rejected in the Commons. If (and it's still an if) May is returned with a much bigger majority, then the pressure is greatly reduced.

As for promises kept, obviously Article 50 at end of March is the big one. Everything else is still pending the negotiations.
"There were no "promises" made on deliverables" Campaign promises are still promises.

Vote Leave was an organisation that campaigned for a Leave vote in the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, 2016.
On 13 April 2016, Vote Leave was designated by the Electoral Commission as the official campaign in favour of leaving the European Union for the referendum on EU membership.[2]

Vote Leave was funded by former Conservative treasurer Peter Cruddas.

Some Campaign promises from the Leave campaign.
  • There is a free trade zone stretching from Iceland to the Russian border. We will still be part of it after we vote Leave.
  • Immigration will continue to be out of control putting public services like the NHS under strain
  • The EU costs us $350 million per week, enough to build a new fully staffed NHS hospital every week
  • We should spend our money on priorities like the NHS, not the EU

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