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Old 18.01.2019, 18:30
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

Quote:
Demographics in action- this Saturday is a big day:

From Polly Toynbee int he Guardian:

You could call it swing Saturday or crossover day, for this Saturday, 19 January, marks an important moment. This is the day, in theory, when the country turns remain. Even if not a single person has changed their mind since the referendum, the demographic shift alone will have done the heavy lifting. Enough old leavers will have died and enough young remainers will have come on to the electoral register to turn the dial on what the country thinks about Brexit.

The psephologist and founding YouGov president, Peter Kellner, calculates that the leave vote has been declining by about 1,350 a day, taking into account the differential turnout: the young turn out to vote much less often than the old. By using exactly the same proportion of every age group turning out to vote exactly as they did in 2016, demographics alone will have transformed the UK into a remainer nation.
Poly Toynbee is 72 and obviously far too old to have an opinion. I think she should just STFU.
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