Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 28.10.2020, 16:03
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Re: Coronavirus

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Oh do come on, many EF experts are telling us daily that the herd effect is on the way
You do realize that herd effect does not equal herd immunity right? There is a herd effect already. Not huge in CH yet by any means but its there.

If CZ gets to 40 or 50% infected - which surely looks possible given the giant number of deaths there and exponential rise, it will have a substantial herd effect. That is to say that the natural R value (of say 3) is muted (to say 1.5). Which makes the disease much more controllable over the next few months at least. Is that really controversial?
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