Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 28.10.2020, 16:10
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Re: Coronavirus

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The people who get more ill are likely to be protected longer than average. And reinfections in general are statistically quite rare. So its imperfect protection - but probably enough to see you guys through to vaccinating the vulnerable presuming that can be done by say Q2 2020. Presuming you continue to blow out. Certainly if you get to 40 or 50% that should make controlling the next wave relatively straightforward.
They think Q1 already, January. Some local research is also done, CZ media reported Russia and China vaxing already.

The blow out seemed unavoidable, since this concept of under-reporting means undetected. It is guessed to have massively happened while back, we only identified late Sept something that was brought in July/Aug by holiday makers and quietly travelled through the country. Not really caused by the usual everyday border crossing for individual work commuters or cargo logistics.That's what many local public health offices (which are exclusively MDs) and GPs say, together with data from the epidemiologists.

The difference here in CH imho is that June/July we had here big warning of a possible quarantine (unpaid by insurance if infected in red zones abroad...etc.) upon return and the consequences deterred people better here than in CZ who were untouched by 1st wave (almost no deaths). So almost everyone I know in edu/health stayed here.

CZ doesn't see it in waves though...if the spread is so high, the beginning of future waves might be hard to monitor and the experts warn of mutations, too. So, other complications.
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