Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 25.01.2021, 15:23
leonie leonie is offline
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Re: Coronavirus

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With 48k tests for the previous weekend, and 55k for this weekend, the drop is somewhat better than it looks.
I am not sure how to interpret these numbers. The tests are not 100% accurate, so the more Covid prevalence drops, the more we will see a lot of false positive results from 55'000 tests. For example, if the test is 95% accurate (sensitive), and the disease prevalence is only 1%, then testing 55k people will give us over 3000 positives, and around 85% of these positives will be false.
We don't know exactly how accurate the tests are, but we might never get to small number of cases simply because we are testing a lot of people.
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