Thread: Coronavirus
View Single Post
  #20853  
Old 09.02.2021, 15:55
komsomolez's Avatar
komsomolez komsomolez is offline
Forum Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Ausserschwyz
Posts: 1,419
Groaned at 62 Times in 41 Posts
Thanked 2,708 Times in 1,055 Posts
komsomolez has a reputation beyond reputekomsomolez has a reputation beyond reputekomsomolez has a reputation beyond reputekomsomolez has a reputation beyond reputekomsomolez has a reputation beyond reputekomsomolez has a reputation beyond repute
Re: Coronavirus

The chart that Ackermann has shown in today's presser where they track the model output vs actuals show that from mid Feb onwards the total new cases would start increasing again.

He was careful to say that this was not a prognosis, but I guess based on current R rates and extrapolation of growth in new variants it very well could be. They estimate 20% of all new cases now new variants, 40%ish in GE, and growing. The assumption in their model apparently is 50% higher transmission.
Reply With Quote
This user would like to thank komsomolez for this useful post: