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  #17441  
Old 03.12.2020, 19:53
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Re: Coronavirus

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I have a feeling I'm about right on COVID as I get groaned by both wings!

Got groaned about a month ago for suggesting no need to lock down whilst R is below 1 and cases falling, and now getting groaned for suggesting restrictions now a return to R > 1 looks on the cards!
Guess you'd make an awful politician
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  #17442  
Old 03.12.2020, 19:56
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Re: Coronavirus

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Guess you'd make an awful politician
I stood for election in the UK previously!
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  #17443  
Old 03.12.2020, 19:58
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Re: Coronavirus

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I stood for election in the UK previously!
The fact that you don't write "I was elected to office" says it all.
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  #17444  
Old 03.12.2020, 20:01
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Re: Coronavirus

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The fact that you don't write "I was elected to office" says it all.
I beat the candidate from the gay donkey party (democrats and veterans)

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  #17445  
Old 03.12.2020, 20:25
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Re: Coronavirus

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I beat the candidate from the gay donkey party (democrats and veterans)

https://www.wandsworth.gov.uk/the-co...-results-2018/
One of those electorates where it's pointless running if you're not from the incumbent party. Were they blooding you on an unwinnable seat to see what you're made of?
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  #17446  
Old 03.12.2020, 20:42
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Re: Coronavirus

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One of those electorates where it's pointless running if you're not from the incumbent party. Were they blooding you on an unwinnable seat to see what you're made of?
No, I chose it as I had absolutely no desire to win, and didn't mind being a paper candidate!

There will never be a serious campaign in a marginal borough like Wandsworth in this sort of ward from either side - all efforts go to the marginals, including those of candidates in safe and unwinnable wards.
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  #17447  
Old 03.12.2020, 20:48
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Re: Coronavirus

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As for the last few days the French speaking cantons are all moving along nicely, the German ones basically static or increasing.
In Zurich 7 day average has been increasing for last 8 days and first time intensive care units are above 90% full(92% to be precise). What does the canton do, well, absolutely nothing.
Only question is that will they do something when that number will be 100% within next week or just start shipping patients elsewhere instead.

Also almost half of places available in intensive care units are in Kinderspital which I assume even local politicians would not use for adult covid patients.
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  #17448  
Old 03.12.2020, 21:11
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Re: Coronavirus

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In Zurich 7 day average has been increasing for last 8 days and first time intensive care units are above 90% full(92% to be precise). What does the canton do, well, absolutely nothing.
Only question is that will they do something when that number will be 100% within next week or just start shipping patients elsewhere instead.

Also almost half of places available in intensive care units are in Kinderspital which I assume even local politicians would not use for adult covid patients.
Stupid question - does the city have any powers to impose restrictions independently of the canton?
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  #17449  
Old 03.12.2020, 21:32
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Re: Coronavirus

I find this interesting from GE hospital that reports on all covid hospitalisations in the canton. Covid hospitalisations (Green) go down, and these are the numbers being reported, but the post - covid hospitisations (blue) now outnumber active cases and are growing. Bottom line, hospital situation looks better as only active cases reported, but hospitals are still very full with covid persons recovering.
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  #17450  
Old 04.12.2020, 00:41
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Re: Coronavirus

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Adjusted by population size, the number of daily deaths in the US and in Switzerland is almost the same now. Theirs going up though, while ours come down (slowly).
It is difficult to put any sort of comparisons in context when there are so many possibly important factors.
For example, Swiss population density is 219/sqm versus the US with 36; is that significant? - I have no clue
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  #17451  
Old 04.12.2020, 06:16
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Re: Coronavirus

Face masks considerably reduce COVID-19 cases in Germany https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2.../02/2015954117

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As face masks became mandatory at different points in time across German regions, we can compare the rise in infections in regions with masks and regions without masks. Weighing various estimates, we conclude that 20 d after becoming mandatory face masks have reduced the number of new infections by around 45%. As economic costs are close to zero compared to other public health measures, masks seem to be a cost-effective means to combat COVID-19.
If only masks had been implemented nationwide in countries far sooner... the difference in infections would likely have been dramatic.
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  #17452  
Old 04.12.2020, 09:11
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You can help

The Vodaphone foundation is sponsoring the DreamLab app. The app uses downtime (for example overnight) processing power of your phone or tablet allowing scientists to use it to help coronavirus research.

BBC story here. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/technology-55131938

Vodaphone here; https://www.vodafone.co.uk/mobile/dreamlab with links for both Android and Apple.

You device needs to be charging for the app to work and you can select wifi only in the settings. You also have to open the app for it to be used. It doesn’t take over your phone.

Every bit helps.

Edited to add. You don’t have to be a vodaphone customer, and you don’t have to be in the UK.

Last edited by bowlie; 04.12.2020 at 09:25.
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  #17453  
Old 04.12.2020, 09:22
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Re: Coronavirus

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Face masks considerably reduce COVID-19 cases in Germany https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2.../02/2015954117



If only masks had been implemented nationwide in countries far sooner... the difference in infections would likely have been dramatic.
Iím sure Tony Clifton would have something to say about this.....if only he hadnít been banned.
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  #17454  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:05
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Re: Coronavirus

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Iím sure Tony Clifton would have something to say about this.....if only he hadnít been banned.
He was finally banned? Missed that. Brilliant!
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  #17455  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:07
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Re: Coronavirus

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Iím sure Tony Clifton would have something to say about this.....if only he hadnít been banned.
For what? And where do you see that?
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  #17456  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:12
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Re: Coronavirus

Do a search of the members' list, he doesn't appear. Pretty simple to find out.
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  #17457  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:12
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Re: Coronavirus

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I have a feeling I'm about right on COVID as I get groaned by both wings!

Got groaned about a month ago for suggesting no need to lock down whilst R is below 1 and cases falling, and now getting groaned for suggesting restrictions now a return to R > 1 looks on the cards!
In both cases you are a bit behind the curve. The point is - and where the BR have failed badly - to anticipate those changes. If you watched the trends, it was obvious a couple of weeks ago or more that the headline number was driven only by the French cantons and that the German cantons were failing. This already should have been the trigger for immediate action.

Likewise it was obvious by end August/early September that we were heading in a bad direction, introducing then the measures we have now probably would have been enough to keep things under control - but the BR were only prepared to see what they wanted to see.
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Old 04.12.2020, 10:15
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Re: Coronavirus

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I beat the candidate from the gay donkey party (democrats and veterans)
So which of the 2 kippers getting a massive 71 votes were you?

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For what? And where do you see that?
https://www.englishforum.ch/members/...nyclifton.html
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  #17459  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:25
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Re: Coronavirus

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Do a search of the members' list, he doesn't appear. Pretty simple to find out.
Yeah, if you suspect that someone is banned. I don't usually scroll through that list to see who is still around.
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  #17460  
Old 04.12.2020, 10:29
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Re: Coronavirus

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So which of the 2 kippers getting a massive 71 votes were you?


https://www.englishforum.ch/members/...nyclifton.html
I'm sure you could work out who I am if you wanted - but neither!
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