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  #1021  
Old 13.10.2016, 09:36
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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I would accept either the Assad clan in power in 12 months or Assad willingly stepping down to handover the reins to a transitional government. Hoping for the latter.

The 50 casualties per month will be the more difficult condition but I'm willing to wager with optimism.
Having lost the bet - please donate 100 chf to nature protection in Israel and forward the confirmation email to me.
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  #1022  
Old 13.10.2016, 16:59
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Interesting claim today "Amid Syrian chaos, Iran’s game plan emerges: a path to the Mediterranean"

Seems this was a key objective for Iran.
No doubt will upset Turkey since to make this work Iran needs a deal with the Kurds (amongst others) and hence will help to protect the Kurds from Turkey.
The route of this path is exactly aligned with locations that the Kurds want to turn into a Kurdish state.

Also it will need the Iranians to do a deal to have access to the Latakia port.

Source
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  #1023  
Old 13.10.2016, 17:35
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Having lost the bet - please donate 100 chf to nature protection in Israel and forward the confirmation email to me.
Just in time. As I hadn't heard from you I was just about to put in a donation in your name to Hezbollah Children's Fund. Your organization looks pretty good though as well.
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  #1024  
Old 13.10.2016, 17:41
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

"as well" ? Talk about back handed compliment.
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  #1025  
Old 19.10.2016, 16:58
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

The situation in Syria is going from bad to worse, or actually from terrible to horrific.

Even if Russia and Assad take over Allepo, it will be very difficult for them to control the whole of Syria.
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  #1026  
Old 26.10.2016, 12:25
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Quote "The Spanish foreign ministry has said it is reviewing plans to allow Russian warships to refuel in Spanish ports on the way to the eastern Mediterranean, from where they are expected to escalate attacks against rebel fighters in Syria."

I suppose it is too much to hope for that we will see Russia's only aircraft carrier swinging at anchor in the Atlantic due to lack of fuel
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  #1027  
Old 26.10.2016, 15:10
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Quote "The Spanish foreign ministry has said it is reviewing plans to allow Russian warships to refuel in Spanish ports on the way to the eastern Mediterranean, from where they are expected to escalate attacks against rebel fighters in Syria."

I suppose it is too much to hope for that we will see Russia's only aircraft carrier swinging at anchor in the Atlantic due to lack of fuel
Seems the Russians have withdrawn their refuelling request.
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  #1028  
Old 26.10.2016, 15:43
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Obama's lack of leadership in this matter is worrying - he could have convened NATO leaders and agree not to refuel Russian ship en-route to the war in Syria.
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  #1029  
Old 06.11.2016, 16:40
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Kurdish-led forces announce plan to retake Raqqa from Isis. US-backed coalition says operation has begun and it hopes Turkey, which is resisting Kurdish role, will not ‘interfere’.

Increasingly complicated situation in Syria with so many different tribes, cultures and politicians involved.

Meanwhile the fight continues to take Mosul in Iraq.
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  #1030  
Old 14.11.2016, 00:09
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Some promising news coming out of President-elect Trump:

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said Friday that he was likely to abandon the American effort to support “moderate” opposition groups in Syria who are battling the government of President Bashar al-Assad, saying “we have no idea who these people are.”
source

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Mr. Trump’s the-enemy-of-my-enemy-is-my-friend logic is consistent with what he said during the campaign. “I’m not saying Assad is a good man, ‘cause he’s not,” he told The New York Times in an interview in March, “but our far greater problem is not Assad, it’s ISIS.”
I still believe that the far greater problem is not ISIS, it is the support for the "moderate" rebels that is prolonging the civil war.
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  #1031  
Old 14.11.2016, 08:06
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Obama's lack of leadership in this matter is worrying - he could have convened NATO leaders and agree not to refuel Russian ship en-route to the war in Syria.
It will be over soon.
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  #1032  
Old 16.11.2016, 19:19
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

It is now confirmed that rebel-occupied Aleppo has the highest concentration of Children's Hospitals in the world. Whenever the rebels start taking a beating, another one get's bombed. It must be true as they are always reported from the highly-respected organizations: Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, Syria Civil Defence (White Helmets), and the Independent Doctor's Association. FFS

I predict reports of chemical warfare in the coming days.
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  #1033  
Old 16.11.2016, 19:35
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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It is now confirmed that rebel-occupied Aleppo has the highest concentration of Children's Hospitals in the world. Whenever the rebels start taking a beating, another one get's bombed. It must be true as they are always reported from the highly-respected organizations: Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, Syria Civil Defence (White Helmets), and the Independent Doctor's Association. FFS

I predict reports of chemical warfare in the coming days.
"Aleppo has the highest concentration of Children's Hospitals in the world." Not really they keep getting bombed so they have to establish new ones, Is that so hard to understand. Maybe you think they should give up trying to treat sick children.

Possibly you have a picture in your head of a hospital with a graceful building filled with hygienic wards and operating theatres?
The reality is some poorly equipped cellars.
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  #1034  
Old 08.12.2016, 14:11
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Putin surprised human rights activists pay little attention to Russian hospital's bombing
Russian Politics & Diplomacy
December 08, 14:24 UTC+3
More:
http://tass.com/politics/917699
At first I understood the article title to be like Putin complaining that HR groups aren't paying attention to Russia bombing all the hospitals in Syria, like "hey, how many hospitals does a guy have to bomb to get some attention around here?"
...but actually, Putin was complaining because a Russian hospital got bombed in Syria (for a change)
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  #1035  
Old 08.12.2016, 14:27
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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At first I understood the article title to be like Putin complaining that HR groups aren't paying attention to Russia bombing all the hospitals in Syria, like "hey, how many hospitals does a guy have to bomb to get some attention around here?"
...but actually, Putin was complaining because a Russian hospital got bombed in Syria (for a change)
Karma
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  #1036  
Old 09.12.2016, 10:21
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Apparently the re-conquest of eastern Aleppo is advancing rapidly. A TA article says the rebels hold just 20% of what they used to have.
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  #1037  
Old 14.12.2016, 08:01
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Looks like Aleppo has finally fallen. Took long enough. Hopefully Assad can now get back control and this mess will soon all be over.

The west should never have interfered in the first place in arming these "moderate" rebels.
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Old 14.12.2016, 10:32
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Looks like Aleppo has finally fallen. Took long enough. Hopefully Assad can now get back control and this mess will soon all be over.

The west should never have interfered in the first place in arming these "moderate" rebels.
Indeed. Looking forward to reports on US weapons in the hands of those who shouldn't have got them.

And again poison gas attacks are reported. How come they only happen when Assad is advancing? Who has to gain more from these news, Assad or the rebels?
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  #1039  
Old 14.12.2016, 12:45
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Looks like Aleppo has finally fallen. Took long enough. Hopefully Assad can now get back control and this mess will soon all be over.

The west should never have interfered in the first place in arming these "moderate" rebels.
Unfortunately the war seems far from being over. Here they report the US congress just made possible delivering surface to air missiles, although they write it is unlikely that would happen:
Washington Post: Congress just gave Trump the authority to send surface-to-air missiles to Syrian fighters
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  #1040  
Old 14.12.2016, 14:13
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Unfortunately the war seems far from being over. Here they report the US congress just made possible delivering surface to air missiles, although they write it is unlikely that would happen:
Washington Post: Congress just gave Trump the authority to send surface-to-air missiles to Syrian fighters
Will they ever learn?

Reportedly (article in German) as a consequence of the offensive on Aleppo the Syrian forces have been weakened elsewhere. This allowed Daesh to reconquer Palmyra last Sunday, including weapons that had been provided by the Russians.

The exact same thing is likely to happen if the US hand over weapons of theirs.

What's more, this would initiate an indirect confrontation with the Russians as the rebels are sure to use them not only against Syrian airplanes, but against Russia's as well.
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