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  #1101  
Old 20.01.2017, 14:37
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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As I said before - Putin can't simply pull sticks and declare victory. ISIS destroys another monument in Palmyra.
What was that? Another temple to Baal? Who cares? Give them more stones to play with.
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  #1102  
Old 15.02.2017, 08:58
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

The Turkish army and its local jihadist allies (aka moderate rebels) is taking embarrassingly long to capture Al Bab.
This is what happens when half the military officers are in jail.

Turkish forces on the verge of getting kicked out of Al-Bab by ISIS
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  #1103  
Old 28.02.2017, 19:44
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Russia (no surprise) and China veto UN Security council sanctions over gas attacks.

Obama failed to act against Assad over Gas attacks before Russia was involved. cowardly.
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  #1104  
Old 09.03.2017, 12:54
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Situation in Syria getting even messier!

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With a show of Stars and Stripes, U.S. forces in Syria try to keep warring allies apart
Source

U.S. troops dispatched to Syria have headed in recent days to the northern town of Manbij, 85 miles northwest of the extremists’ capital, Raqqa, to protect their Kurdish and Arab allies against a threatened assault by other U.S. allies in a Turkish-backed force.

Russian troops have also shown up in Manbij under a separate deal that was negotiated without the input of the United States, according to U.S. officials. Under the deal, Syrian troops are to be deployed in the area, also in some form of peacekeeping role, setting up what is effectively a scramble by the armies of four nations to carve up a collection of mostly empty villages in a remote corner of Syria.

The deployment is “fraught with risk,” said Robert Ford, who served as the Obama administration’s last ambassador to Syria until 2014.

“We have never in our Syrian policy ever put U.S. personnel in between warring Syrian factions or to maintain a local cease-fire.”
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  #1105  
Old 21.03.2017, 07:47
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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The Syrian Kurdish YPG militia said Russia was setting up a military base in northwestern Syria under a bilateral agreement and will help train its fighters - a step that would anger Turkey as it tries to block Kurdish gains near its borders.
A Russian deployment would help deter cross-border attacks against the Kurdish-dominated area of Afrin from Turkey, which is hostile to the YPG, seeing it as an arm of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) that is pressing an insurrection in Turkey.
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If true, this is a major change in the complex pattern of relationships in Syria and one in the eye for Turkey!
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  #1106  
Old 21.03.2017, 11:32
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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If true, this is a major change in the complex pattern of relationships in Syria and one in the eye for Turkey!
Would Putin do that against Assad's will? Seeing how longstanding their alliance is I kind of doubt it. Which in turn means he sees the Kurds as better allies than Turkey. How much of a role US intentions play is anybody's guess.

This gives the Kurds significant leverage, perhaps enough to get the idea accepted by the UN when it comes to forming a Kurdish state, which is increasingly likely to me.
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  #1107  
Old 21.03.2017, 11:57
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Would Putin do that against Assad's will?
Assad answers to Putin, not the other way round. Before Putin intervened Assad's regime was losing the war.

The russians setting up bases is never good news. The Kurds are, as always, divided and each side get support from wherever they can. Supplying the Russian bases won't be easy - roads from Med aren't safe and air is expensive, plus being very close to Turksih airspace isn't safe.
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  #1108  
Old 21.03.2017, 16:21
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Assad answers to Putin, not the other way round. Before Putin intervened Assad's regime was losing the war.
Sure. But it's far easier to keep an puppet on the leash if he isn't too dissatisfied.
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  #1109  
Old 30.03.2017, 16:00
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Turkey says it has "successfully" ended its seven-month Euphrates Shield military campaign in northern Syria.
But Prime Minister Binali Yildirim did not rule out new military operations and did not say whether Turkish troops would now leave Syria.

After retaking Jarablus, Dabiq and al-Bab from the jihadists, Turkish officials warned the offensive would push the Kurdish militia out of Manbij, before moving south to Raqqa. But neither of those has happened.

It is possible Turkey has got cold feet after sustaining heavy losses in al-Bab?

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  #1110  
Old 06.04.2017, 21:18
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

I think it is another false flag. Why would the Syrian Govt. jeopardize their position while they are winning? We now have the 'nuclear option' being pushed in the U.S., this means that Trump can more easily push for a war with Syria. Tillotson has just indicated that in response to the gas attacks Assad will be removed.

http://m.democracynow.org/stories/16159
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  #1111  
Old 07.04.2017, 08:52
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

The Pentagon announced that 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles had been fired at Al Shayrat airfield in Syria
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  #1112  
Old 07.04.2017, 09:16
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Yeh, at last Americans got their new war that they were so longing for.
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  #1113  
Old 07.04.2017, 09:29
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

Imagine if there were no petrol lines crossing Syria...
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  #1114  
Old 07.04.2017, 10:48
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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I think it is another false flag. Why would the Syrian Govt. jeopardize their position while they are winning? We now have the 'nuclear option' being pushed in the U.S., this means that Trump can more easily push for a war with Syria. Tillotson has just indicated that in response to the gas attacks Assad will be removed.

http://m.democracynow.org/stories/16159
Indeed, it would make no sense for Assad to use chemical weapons, certainly not at this point after Trump said his removal was of 2nd (or 3rd) priority.

Cui bono?
The only ones who stand to gain from the reaction to these attacks are the rebels and terrorists (and the US military complex).

Why are the helpers, many White Helmets among them who are said to have significant knowledge on chemical weapons, not wearing gloves, masks and eye protection? Sarin is absorbed by the skin, the eyes, and also the lungs if breathed in.

Btw welt.de, which is anything but on the left, says the attacks in 2013 had been canceled because UK intelligence showed that the rebels were in posssesion of Sarin. Apparently, some al-Nusra members in possession of 2kg Sarin were even caught in Turkey in 2013; this appears to have been reported by many Turkish newspapers but is unverifiable by me as I don't know Turkish.


Fun fact:
Betsy DeVos is Erik Prince's sister, the co-founder of Blackwater (now named Academi).
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Old 07.04.2017, 11:01
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Why are the helpers, many White Helmets among them who are said to have significant knowledge on chemical weapons, not wearing gloves, masks and eye protection? Sarin is absorbed by the skin, the eyes, and also the lungs if breathed in.
Probably because Sarin doesn't hang around very long once deployed. The liquid is very volatile and would quickly disperse into the atmosphere and reach non-lethal concentrations.

By the time the White Helmets appeared there would be no further risk.
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  #1116  
Old 07.04.2017, 13:45
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

The deal with Iran means that Iran's WMD would also disappear they same way Syria's did(n't).
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  #1117  
Old 07.04.2017, 19:11
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Yeh, at last Americans got their new war that they were so longing for.
Trump got his war.
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  #1118  
Old 07.04.2017, 19:17
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Indeed, it would make no sense for Assad to use chemical weapons, certainly not at this point after Trump said his removal was of 2nd (or 3rd) priority.

Cui bono?
The only ones who stand to gain from the reaction to these attacks are the rebels and terrorists (and the US military complex).

Why are the helpers, many White Helmets among them who are said to have significant knowledge on chemical weapons, not wearing gloves, masks and eye protection? Sarin is absorbed by the skin, the eyes, and also the lungs if breathed in.

Btw welt.de, which is anything but on the left, says the attacks in 2013 had been canceled because UK intelligence showed that the rebels were in posssesion of Sarin. Apparently, some al-Nusra members in possession of 2kg Sarin were even caught in Turkey in 2013; this appears to have been reported by many Turkish newspapers but is unverifiable by me as I don't know Turkish.


Fun fact:
Betsy DeVos is Erik Prince's sister, the co-founder of Blackwater (now named Academi).
Seymour Hersh write extensively about this. It was Porto Down that got involved, although I wouldn't put anything past Putin.

https://www.lrb.co.uk/v36/n08/seymou...d-the-rat-line
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  #1119  
Old 07.04.2017, 21:19
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

I'm still reserving judgment, but this report also makes sense.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/mobile....ttack.amp.html
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  #1120  
Old 07.04.2017, 23:00
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Re: Syria - It ain't over till it's over

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Probably because Sarin doesn't hang around very long once deployed. The liquid is very volatile and would quickly disperse into the atmosphere and reach non-lethal concentrations.

By the time the White Helmets appeared there would be no further risk.
They can't be certain it's Sarin, VX for instance remains for days or weeks. But even Sarin remains for multiple hours, just one droplet that remained in the clothes or in a skin fold may be enoug to kill you.

I'd agree that immediate family members may ignore the risk in the hours of need, but which stranger would be stupid enough to take that kind of risk?
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