I guess Urs is thinking about a Ukrainian counter-offensive to St Petersburg in the North and Novosibirsk in the East. I hope they go up all the way to Yamal so they can sort out the gas supply issue as well.

You are totally right, but not only Russians.

Stop at Alaska?

So, why did you come back MikeDragos?

I blame global warming.

Now the Russians have cut supplies to the EU through one pipeline to 20% I do wonder what they are doing with the surplus?

They can store it but sooner or later the storage will be full. If they start turning off their gas wells then with their usual level of competence they may not be able to start them up again quickly, or at all

Production is plummeting, recently saw data on that but don't remember where. But the competence issue you mention is in the Kremlin, not in the gas operators.

At least they do not close gas wells with nuclear weapons anymore.

Russia's biggest natural gas field was ablaze in June, also again last year.

Major fire hit Gazprom gas production last year.

Amazing claim from the Biden administration, hope it is correct.

Certainly, there are multiple claims of the Russians switching from an offensive strategy to a defensive which would be understandable if this is true.

From the same link

Business as usual?

Despite the strong franc and the sanctions, Swiss exports to Russia hit new records

https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-s...g-war/47785050

https://www.nau.ch/news/wirtschaft/s...sland-66230923

Somebody must give them medicines, no? Would you prefer to see people dying because of inadequate health care just because they had the misfortune to be born in a country with Putin? And Medvedev, Lavrov, Shoigu etc etc

3/4 of the exports to Russia in June were drugs.
Why would anybody want to have the Russia's population pay even more for Putin's deeds by denying them proper medical treatment?

Coz this is EF?
You know, where unreflected entitlement is king...or queen - whatever

Because it will hasten the exit of putin. If there is no medicine Internally it will cause social unrest. Anyway there is no medicine Ukraine, the Russians keep blowing it up.

Unusual celebration of Russian Navy Day today, an explosion in the Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol, claims of Ukraine drone or even a home made drone.

Over in Kherson which is cut off from the other Russian occupied territory by the Dnipro River, Ukraine claims to have damaged all the bridges (including the railway) enough to stop heavy goods. They also claim they will hammer the Russians there with long-range artillery while the Russians slowly run out of ammunition.

You mean like the 20 million dead Russians in WW2 "accelerated" Stalin's removal? That worked perfect, or did it.

Mud season is coming...has Putie read history? Might look like Minard's graph.

https://www.salon.com/2022/08/03/win...hitler-moment/

US view on how the situation may develop.

Excellent article; thanks for that, Marton. As my previous comment hinted, I wonder if one strategy isn't to force them off the "pavement" (roads and rail) and into the mud.

Everything reasonable except the "impending collapse of Russia". This phrase was borrowed from Cold War times and (ab) used by both sides. Russia eventually collapsed, but it was a long time, not a few months.

I was surprised Syria and Central African Republic are not mentioned. After all, Russia also is involved in wars on those places. And there's Chechnya...

I trust neocons as far as I can throw them

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seth_Cropsey