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  #7761  
Old 01.10.2022, 22:22
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Meantime in Kharkov..according to BBC
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Details have started to emerge of a recent deadly attack on a convoy of Ukrainian civilians. Kharkiv authorities said that 24 people, including 13 children and a pregnant woman, were shot dead in their cars by Russian troops
and
https://kyivindependent.com/news-fee...kharkiv-oblast
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  #7762  
Old 01.10.2022, 22:38
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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With the continued losses the Russians are suffering in Ukraine and the psychotic show they pulled off in Moscow, Putin must be thinking about a further military escalation. Shooting S-300 (anti-air) missiles at Ukrainian cities to kill a few dozen civilians cannot be it. Kadyrow - and I have no idea what he really is in the Putin system - called for martial law and use of nuclear weapons today. That is the same Kadyrow who allegedly is simply not implementing the mobilization requirements is Chechnya.
Russian social media is full of claims that once the annexation is completed then Russia will launch a massive and overwhelming assault on Ukraine.

This ignores the reality that if they had such an assault capability they would have done it long ago instead of suffering and accepting the major and embarrassing losses of the last month.

The only possibility left to Putin is a general mobilisation but that would be foolhardy after the multiple public failures of the partial one. Anyway, it is clear that Russia is not capable of taking advantage of a general mobilisation since they do not have the necessary training resources, sufficient military equipment availble and the efficient logistics to keep such a large group supplied.

I exclude nuclear as this topic is beaten to death in another EF thread, anyway that would be suicide, not a successful escalation..
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  #7763  
Old 01.10.2022, 23:04
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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A Russian submarine attack on Britain's vital undersea internet network and communications cables was core to the plot in this episode of Spooks ( This is MI5 not 9 to 5 )


Well, as I currently live on the island of Bornholm for a large part of the year where the attacks took place (have a coastal property on the East coast) - I think you will find my horizon is a little wider than either what you watch in Spooks (never seen it), and more actual than what you read in the Daily Mail….

Also the Norwegen pipelines pass through Danish waters, so we are pretty much up-to-date without turning to BBC soaps
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  #7764  
Old 01.10.2022, 23:08
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Russian social media is full of claims that once the annexation is completed
It's difficult to complete an annexation while annexed territory is being reduced on hourly basis from several directions.
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  #7765  
Old 02.10.2022, 00:02
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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It's difficult to complete an annexation while annexed territory is being reduced on hourly basis from several directions.
The Russian masterminds are now ganging up on their own generals, I am sure removing experienced military minds will improve the situation
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  #7766  
Old 02.10.2022, 00:12
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Edit: Who posted Putin and his team do not get irony? Putin said Russia is opposing western dominance because Russia wants a multipolar world where nations can determine their future and have right to self determination
in fairness to putin, does anyone really believe that the west actually cares about ukraine - their people or their culture?

obviously russia is no better but id hedge a bet that the west would more likely flood ukraine with their standard lgbt + multikulti propoganda rather than actually value their nation or their "self-determination"
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  #7767  
Old 02.10.2022, 00:19
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in fairness to putin, does anyone really believe that the west actually cares about ukraine - their people or their culture?

obviously russia is no better but id hedge a bet that the west would more likely flood ukraine with their standard lgbt + multikulti propoganda rather than actually value their nation or their "self-determination"
Ask the Ukrainians.
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  #7768  
Old 02.10.2022, 03:39
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in fairness to putin, does anyone really believe that the west actually cares about ukraine - their people or their culture?
I think they care enough to help Ukraine resist in this war despite Putin's threats to use nuclear weapons etc.
When Ru attacked Ua many people on EF were terrified and were talking about the dangers of antagonising Ru just by providing support to Ua.
7 months later the West still supports Ua despite the internal pressures coming from the more "anxious" segment of the population. (or the more gullible ones who believe Kremlin's narrative)
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  #7769  
Old 02.10.2022, 12:24
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in fairness to putin, does anyone really believe that the west actually cares about ukraine - their people or their culture?
I cannot reply for all the west, but I can reply form me: "yes"
btw, trying to take debate down to some ridiculous level only tells that you are trying to troll us.
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  #7770  
Old 02.10.2022, 13:02
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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I think they care enough to help Ukraine resist in this war despite Putin's threats to use nuclear weapons etc.
When Ru attacked Ua many people on EF were terrified and were talking about the dangers of antagonising Ru just by providing support to Ua.
7 months later the West still supports Ua despite the internal pressures coming from the more "anxious" segment of the population. (or the more gullible ones who believe Kremlin's narrative)
Judging by the amount of help (i.e. by the only reasonable measure) that's only the USA and UK who "care enough". Why they help might be another reason altogether. By the same neutral measure many of the wealthy Western countries don't.
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  #7771  
Old 02.10.2022, 13:26
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Ask the Ukrainians.
like the ones that just voted to join russia?

i do speak to them though. and i can completely understand many ukrainians hostility towards russification although i disagree with them about their 'sovereignty' as i believe their nationalism is accepted due to practicality rather than principle.
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  #7772  
Old 02.10.2022, 13:41
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Judging by the amount of help (i.e. by the only reasonable measure) that's only the USA and UK who "care enough". Why they help might be another reason altogether. By the same neutral measure many of the wealthy Western countries don't.
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  #7773  
Old 02.10.2022, 13:44
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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I cannot reply for all the west, but I can reply form me: "yes"
btw, trying to take debate down to some ridiculous level only tells that you are trying to troll us.
Don't be mean, people do as best they are able
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  #7774  
Old 02.10.2022, 14:20
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in fairness to putin, does anyone really believe that the west actually cares about ukraine - their people or their culture?
Exhibit dismaying stupidity and expect “fairness” - sure, that’s the way we do stuff in Russia. Putin’s respect for the Ukraine, its people and their culture has really been uplifting of late….

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like the ones that just voted to join russia?

i do speak to them though. and i can completely understand many ukrainians hostility towards russification although i disagree with them about their 'sovereignty' as i believe their nationalism is accepted due to practicality rather than principle.
Again: colonialism 101 - first you overrun and secure the territory in question, kill off the majority of natives and after a few years, invite the overawed survivors to vote for whatever. It is not a terribly clever move to hold questionable referenda when at best you’re holding on/beating a retreat…
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  #7775  
Old 02.10.2022, 15:58
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Exhibit dismaying stupidity and expect “fairness” - sure, that’s the way we do stuff in Russia. Putin’s respect for the Ukraine, its people and their culture has really been uplifting of late….
well i did write "obviously russia is no better".
if people want to argue that the west is the lesser of two evils then i would consider it an arguable position - but anyone who believes ukraine would keep their sovereignty if they were to join the EU or NATO as zelensky is currently begging for is either shortsighted or dishonest.
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  #7776  
Old 02.10.2022, 18:27
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

your sentence should be "obviously Russia is many levels worse"
the state of Russia is such that no one wants to be too close to them. Not other Slavic countries and not central Asian one. Everyone who can, is moving away.
Putin miserably fail to change Russia into a modern state that could be competitive in international arena and at some points Russians should accept that it is their own failure. Or they will become some miserable state, dreaming of their former glory and making theories how they are victims of some globo-homo conspiracies. Like Serbia.*
*maybe I should write this also in the other thread about Vucic, but frankly, why loosing to much time with people who insist on the path of self-destruction they have chosen for themselves?
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  #7777  
Old 02.10.2022, 18:58
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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It's difficult to complete an annexation while annexed territory is being reduced on hourly basis from several directions.
Getting more difficult.

Russians have abandoned Torskoye and Terne, and the right bank of the Zherebets River.
Ukraine is shelling Kremennaya in the Luhansk Oblast and possibly also shelling Svatovo
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  #7778  
Old 02.10.2022, 19:06
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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well i did write "obviously russia is no better".
if people want to argue that the west is the lesser of two evils then i would consider it an arguable position - but anyone who believes ukraine would keep their sovereignty if they were to join the EU or NATO as zelensky is currently begging for is either shortsighted or dishonest.
You can argue till the cows come home - none in “the West” are paragons of virtue but it’s Russia that invaded the Ukraine and miscalculated badly. If they had presented a fait accompli like 2014, it might have worked. Too bad quite a few people/countries were better prepared this time.

So, yes, “the West” is the lesser evil. EU or NATO membership is unrealistic but to turn your useless question around, do you believe the Ukraine would keep any form of “sovereignty” after Russia has had its very own evil way with it?
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  #7779  
Old 02.10.2022, 20:25
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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It's difficult to complete an annexation while annexed territory is being reduced on hourly basis from several directions.
Quite the contrary, the smaller the territory the simpler.
Gotta go with the flow, just like Putin, he's adjusted his aims multiple times
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  #7780  
Old 02.10.2022, 22:36
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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You can argue till the cows come home - none in “the West” are paragons of virtue but it’s Russia that invaded the Ukraine and miscalculated badly. If they had presented a fait accompli like 2014, it might have worked. Too bad quite a few people/countries were better prepared this time.
well we can disagree about it but i believe russia did what they had to do from a purely military point of view. and yes, mistakes were made but they have now annexed a large part of ukraine and taken full control of the sea of azov - and the war is far from over.

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So, yes, “the West” is the lesser evil. EU or NATO membership is unrealistic but to turn your useless question around, do you believe the Ukraine would keep any form of “sovereignty” after Russia has had its very own evil way with it?
no i dont. but i also dont agree with talk about ukraines "self-determination" or their "sovereignty" whilst their president is begging to join EU and NATO.
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