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Old 28.11.2022, 12:12
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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That's quite a big thing. Crossing over is treacherous as it makes the vessels an easy target, and doing so with heavy vehicles is probably apparent days in advance because you need big and strong ponton bridges (which may require the stabilisation by colons of normal bridges to work on such a wide river).

Allowing UA to bring everything over where they're out of RU's artillery reach looks like one more massive blunder. But then again, I've seen reports (even Tagi did and referenced OSINT sources) according to which RU is digging trenches in Crimea's northern vicinity, perhaps RU doesn't really plan to hold the Kherson oblast.
The US institute of War (ISW) has published a drawing of new Russian defensive fortifications in Southern Kerson based on satellite images purchased from Maxar Technologies.

They comment "Russian forces concentrated most of their defenses at multiple locations astride critical roads, establishing only a handful in the open fields between the highways.
However, Ukrainian forces have previously conducted long cross-country drives in Kharkiv Oblast to capitalize on their success in breaking through Russian defensive lines.

Many of the fortifications across the roads do not extend far past the roads themselves, often just far enough to provide good fields of fire from both sides onto the road itself. Most of these positions have open flanks terminating in the middle of fields.
The flanks are often not refused (drawn back) or otherwise well-designed to deter or defend against attacks from the sides or rear.
Many of these positions are not in tactical supporting distance of one another.

Russian forces would be under threat of attacks on their uncovered flanks or even complete encirclement if Ukrainian forces were able to initiate a substantial mechanized campaign from a base on or near the Kinburn Spit to the west of most fortifications or if Ukrainian forces were able to cross the Dnipro River."

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  #8342  
Old 28.11.2022, 18:42
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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The Russians claimed they moved most of their heavy weapons, from the West bank of the Dnipro using ferries. I don't know if that is true.
RU held both riverbanks at that time, plus a significant stretch of land to the north that kept UA forces at a distance. That doesn't compare to today.
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Old 01.12.2022, 16:40
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

in a speech ursula von der leyen stated that "100,000 ukrainian military officers" had been killed before the video was deleted and subsequently edited out.

link in german:
https://www.msn.com/de-de/nachrichte...en/ar-AA14LrjX
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  #8344  
Old 01.12.2022, 16:59
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in a speech ursula von der leyen stated that "100,000 ukrainian military officers" had been killed before the video was deleted and subsequently edited out.

link in german:
https://www.msn.com/de-de/nachrichte...en/ar-AA14LrjX
You make it sound like some cloak and dagger cover up. It was explained as follows, and probably removed to prevent confusion (or drama llamas making up some wild narrative )

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Many thanks to those who pointed out the inaccuracy regarding the figures in a previous version of this video.

The estimation used, from external sources, should have referred to casualties, i.e. both killed and injured, and was meant to show Russia‘s brutality.
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  #8345  
Old 02.12.2022, 10:29
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in a speech ursula von der leyen stated that "100,000 ukrainian military officers" had been killed before the video was deleted and subsequently edited out.

link in german:
https://www.msn.com/de-de/nachrichte...en/ar-AA14LrjX
I believe she has mistaken soldiers (troops) for officers... Of course it's embarrassing for an ex- minister of defence.


What's your theory?
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  #8346  
Old 02.12.2022, 11:06
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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in a speech ursula von der leyen stated that "100,000 ukrainian military officers" had been killed before the video was deleted and subsequently edited out.

link in german:
https://www.msn.com/de-de/nachrichte...en/ar-AA14LrjX
https://www.politico.eu/article/ursu...venient-truth/
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  #8347  
Old 02.12.2022, 12:29
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

https://www.republicworld.com/world-...ticleshow.html

Nice. Take over whole Ukraine and blackmail European countries with radiation pollution. Filtering camps. Lists of people to kill and to intimidate.

With that info, for me all the masks are off now.

Putin and cronies have to be eradicated. I don't see any way to make it work with these people for the long term.
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  #8348  
Old 02.12.2022, 12:40
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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You make it sound like some cloak and dagger cover up. It was explained as follows, and probably removed to prevent confusion (or drama llamas making up some wild narrative )
yes, it's commonly known as 'damage control'.
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  #8349  
Old 02.12.2022, 12:53
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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yes, it's commonly known as 'damage control'.
Controlling what damage?
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Old 04.12.2022, 15:02
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Ukrainian special forces have crossed the Dnipro and put up a flag on the East bank.

If they can secure several such places then they would have the makings of an offensive.
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Old 05.12.2022, 12:36
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

War has slowed down, even the Russians have not much to say. So, winter is here

https://tass.com/russia/1545449
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  #8352  
Old 05.12.2022, 12:49
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Controlling what damage?
There was an article somewhere about the whole incident. These numbers were coming from some American general and were only approximations based on the idea that both sides must have suffered huge losses in all these months, which I find perfectly reasonable.
Obviously unsere Ursula didn't write the message, her PR staff did. Which makes me wonder, why these people work for the European Commission? Who hired them? Do they come from the press? Who would have written in an official communicate sensitive stuff they had no official info/numbers about?
The truth is no side had real numbers, it's only approximations and each of them tends to maximise the other's human losses.
IMO.
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Old 05.12.2022, 17:20
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Russians were being careless with cigarettes again at Engels military aerodrome in Saratov Oblast, Russia where Russia's strategic nuclear bombers are kept, video here.
There are claims but no photographic evidence that it was a drone attack and nuclear bombers damaged.

BBC also reports a second fire due to a fuel tanker exploding killing three and injuring six in a military airfield near the city Ryazan, south-east of Moscow, Russia.
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  #8354  
Old 05.12.2022, 19:56
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Russians were being careless with cigarettes again at Engels military aerodrome in Saratov Oblast, Russia where Russia's strategic nuclear bombers are kept, video here.
There are claims but no photographic evidence that it was a drone attack and nuclear bombers damaged.

BBC also reports a second fire due to a fuel tanker exploding killing three and injuring six in a military airfield near the city Ryazan, south-east of Moscow, Russia.
After watching the final episode SAS Rogue Heroes on BBC1 last night and also the documentary that accompanied the series 'SAS - The Originals' not to mention the SAS's other exploits since WW2, like the Iranian Embassy siege.
I wouldn't put it past 'the powers that be in the UK' to have a team of 21st century Rogue Heroes 'doing the dirty business on these Russian bases' using the sage old excuse of 'plausible deniability' if caught or found out.

After all the British are pirates & buccaneers at heart and whereas in the past you had Sir Francis Drake 'singeing The King of
Spain's beard
' with Drakes raid on Cadiz back in 1587 - whose to say Britons modern day pirates, the SAS are not singeing Putin's
hairy chest at his air bases ?
__________________
Surely the time has come for Boris to 'circle the wagons' for a bit of herd immunity ?

Last edited by John William; 05.12.2022 at 20:20.
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  #8355  
Old 05.12.2022, 23:26
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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After watching the final episode SAS Rogue Heroes on BBC1 last night and also the documentary that accompanied the series 'SAS - The Originals' not to mention the SAS's other exploits since WW2, like the Iranian Embassy siege.
I wouldn't put it past 'the powers that be in the UK' to have a team of 21st century Rogue Heroes 'doing the dirty business on these Russian bases' using the sage old excuse of 'plausible deniability' if caught or found out.

After all the British are pirates & buccaneers at heart and whereas in the past you had Sir Francis Drake 'singeing The King of
Spain's beard
' with Drakes raid on Cadiz back in 1587 - whose to say Britons modern day pirates, the SAS are not singeing Putin's
hairy chest at his air bases ?
Yes, and James Bond must have been in there too…
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  #8356  
Old 06.12.2022, 22:08
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Another big fire at a Russian military airfield, this time in Kursk - darn cigarettes.

Edit: Some claims that Ukraine is making these attacks with 40/50-year-old unmanned Tupolev Russian built aircraft that should be easy targets for Russian air defenses.

Igor Vsevolodovich Girkin also known as Igor Ivanovich Strelkov is a Russian army veteran and former Federal Security Service (FSB) officer who played a key role in the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation.

He has been absent from social media for some weeks claiming to be attempting to be on the front line. Now he has written a pretty scathing report of the Russian effort here (in Russian but google translate works well). Also, a long description of his front-line attempts until he was thrown out.

Some quotes
  1. In most parts of the Russian Armed Forces, soldiers and officers do not understand: for what and for what purposes they are fighting in general.
  2. The absence of a clear military-political strategy does not allow the military to develop tactics that will contribute to its implementation.
  3. I do not expect anything good at the front in the coming weeks.
  4. The enemy slowly (and without encountering any opposition) implements his own strategic tasks with the complete passivity of the military and political authorities of the Russian Federation
  5. Many fighters and commanders have long been looming the unresolved question: "What are we doing here, if Moscow is most concerned with the implementation of "grain deals ", the unhindered pumping of ammonia through Odessa.

Last edited by marton; 06.12.2022 at 22:47.
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  #8357  
Old 07.12.2022, 16:27
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Sometimes the most surprising people rise incredibly well to the occasion, his trip to the front line yesterday was amazing while Putin sits in his bunker somewhere in the Urals, or did I mean urinal.

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has been named as TIME Magazine's Person of the Year.
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  #8358  
Old 07.12.2022, 17:03
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Sometimes the most surprising people rise incredibly well to the occasion, his trip to the front line yesterday was amazing while Putin sits in his bunker somewhere in the Urals, or did I mean urinal.
Hoping he'll win a war already lost. Well, maybe if he sends another army of trolls to convince everyone they have won...it's really amazing how many people are and will be affected (on both sides of the war and not only) by his delusional ambitions and resentments. Unfortunately I'm not seeing much opposition to them from the simple people either (and I've waited..) except for the very young ones, who ironically will be affected by the mad man more than any of his supporters....it's too sad and frustrating to comment anything else on this subject.
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  #8359  
Old 08.12.2022, 14:40
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Igor Girkin is an evil man and was one of three convicted of murder (in absentia) over the MH17 attack.

He now writes articles evermore critical of the Russian military and political leadership.

As somebody has translated his latest article from yesterday I attach a copy. He writes in a sort of East European ironic humour style
page 1, page 2.
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  #8360  
Old 08.12.2022, 16:41
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Igor Girkin is an evil man and was one of three convicted of murder (in absentia) over the MH17 attack.

He now writes articles evermore critical of the Russian military and political leadership.

As somebody has translated his latest article from yesterday I attach a copy. He writes in a sort of East European ironic humour style
page 1, page 2.
What a creep indeed. I didn't now who this character was before....

Quote:
Involvement in Transnistria, Bosnia, and Chechnya
The Russian media has identified Girkin as an officer of the Russian military reserves who has expressed hardline views on eliminating perceived enemies of the Russian state. He has fought on the federal side in Russian counter-separatist campaigns in Chechnya and on the pro-Moscow separatist side in the conflict in Moldova's breakaway region of Transnistria.[25]

In 1999, he published his memoirs of the fighting in Bosnia and Herzegovina.[26] In 2014, he was accused by Bosnian media (Klix.ba) and a retired Bosnian Army officer of having been involved in the Višegrad massacres in which thousands of civilians were killed in 1992.[27][28]

The BBC reported Girkin may have worked for Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) in a counter-terrorism unit, citing Russian military experts.[29] According to Russian media, he has served as an FSB officer and his last role before retirement was reportedly with the FSB's Directorate for Combating International Terrorism.[30]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Igor_Girkin

Thank you, Russia.
As for the tools who still dare to defend Russia's actions in any way, shape or form, I hope you'll all live there. Put your money where your mouth is. That's it.
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