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  #8741  
Old 24.01.2023, 13:51
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Update from today about Finland, Sweden and NATO.



https://www.euronews.com/2023/01/24/...-says-minister
That was obviously a provocative gesture of a known alt-righter (he was a godsend to Erdogan; I would argue far right parties have a strong link to Russia) and the Swedes have already apologised for it.

Turkey just wants to find pretexts to make Sweden extradite the Kurdish refugees they deem dangerous.

Btw, it will be interesting to watch how Russia will take Finland's bid to join Nato as they have a common border....will they invade Finland too?

Last edited by greenmount; 24.01.2023 at 14:09.
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  #8742  
Old 24.01.2023, 14:12
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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That was obviously a provocative gesture of a known alt-righter (he was a godsend to Erdogan; I would argue far right parties have a strong link to Russia) and the Swedes have already apologised for it.

Turkey just wants to find pretexts to make Sweden extradite the Kurdish refugees they deem dangerous.
Cannot find the opinion piece now but read somewhere that Mr. Erdogan couldn't care less about Kurdish refugees in Sweden. His issue seem to be the partial ban of weapons exports in the last few years from EU to Turkey to supply his geopolitical games in Syria, Cyprus, Iraq, Qatar, etc.

On the weapons export ban from 2019 https://www.politico.eu/article/turk...-arms-exports/

Sweden ends the weapons exports ban to Turkey (Sep 2022) https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/reuters...p-bid/47943552
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  #8743  
Old 24.01.2023, 14:27
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Most sources claim Russia occupies around 90,000 sq Km of Ukraine so advancing a few hundred sq Km in a couple of months is hard to claim as a significant advance unless there is something of strategic importance also captured there.

So far, Ukrainian forces have liberated an area of 75K sq Km from Russian occupation.
Most of those 90k km2 was open land "that has no obvious strategic value" (your own words).

The point is, Ukraine is no longer on the advance in the Donbas, quite the contrary. The game change the media kept harping about did happen, just not in UA's favor.

For the time being that's the situation.
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  #8744  
Old 24.01.2023, 14:30
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Cannot find the opinion piece now but read somewhere that Mr. Erdogan couldn't care less about Kurdish refugees in Sweden. His issue seem to be the partial ban of weapons exports in the last few years from EU to Turkey to supply his geopolitical games in Syria, Cyprus, Iraq, Qatar, etc.

On the weapons export ban from 2019 https://www.politico.eu/article/turk...-arms-exports/

Sweden ends the weapons exports ban to Turkey (Sep 2022) https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/reuters...p-bid/47943552
Well, for one reason or another they'll try to stop Sweden's accession to Nato in order to get what they want.

Politics is a dirty, dirty thing.
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Old 24.01.2023, 14:33
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Well, for one reason or another they'll try to stop Sweden's accession to Nato in order to get what they want.

Politics is a dirty, dirty thing.
Erdogan needs to block this until the (last ever?) election in Turkey so that he can campaign with the picture of that asshole who burned the Quran in front of the Turkish embassy in Stockholm.
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  #8746  
Old 24.01.2023, 14:43
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Well, for one reason or another they'll try to stop Sweden's accession to Nato in order to get what they want.

Politics is a dirty, dirty thing.
Politics is dirty, disgusting, execrable....but compared to war, it's such a beauty.
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  #8747  
Old 24.01.2023, 14:55
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Well, for one reason or another they'll try to stop Sweden's accession to Nato in order to get what they want.

Politics is a dirty, dirty thing.
Erdogan profiting again from Ukraine's misery
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  #8748  
Old 24.01.2023, 20:23
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Looks like Biden is calling Scholz's bluff

"
The Biden administration is finalizing plans to send US-made Abrams tanks to Ukraine and could make an announcement as soon as this week, according to three US officials familiar with the deliberations."
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  #8749  
Old 24.01.2023, 21:20
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

"Germany today said it would agree to send Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine after weeks of stalling and negotiations with Kyiv and its international partners. "

Well played Biden!!
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  #8750  
Old 24.01.2023, 21:52
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

"World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?"

WW3... unfortunately.
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  #8751  
Old 24.01.2023, 22:15
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

I get the feeling that this period we are currently going through is comparable to the Phony war in the west and the slogan: "Why die for Danzig?" (Pourquoi mourir pour Dantzig) on the eve of WW2. Sending Nato MBT´s to Ukraine is just going to escalate the conflict, Scholz knows this, seems that the Americans have forgotten history, again.
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  #8752  
Old 24.01.2023, 22:30
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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I get the feeling that this period we are currently going through is comparable to the Phony war in the west and the slogan: "Why die for Danzig?" (Pourquoi mourir pour Dantzig) on the eve of WW2. Sending Nato MBT´s to Ukraine is just going to escalate the conflict, Scholz knows this, seems that the Americans have forgotten history, again.
A quarter of a million military dead or wounded, at least 30,0000 civilians killed, 90,000 sq Km of Ukraine under Russian occupation, Ukraine's energy infrastructure mostly destroyed, 8 million Ukraine refugees plus another 8 million displaced.

What do you define as "escalate the conflict"?
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  #8753  
Old 24.01.2023, 22:36
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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A quarter of a million military dead or wounded, at least 30,0000 civilians killed, 90,000 sq Km of Ukraine under Russian occupation, Ukraine's energy infrastructure mostly destroyed, 8 million Ukraine refugees plus another 8 million displaced.

What do you define as "escalate the conflict"?
A direct conflict between NATO and Russia? Duh! Send in NATO tanks and you are already half way there.
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  #8754  
Old 24.01.2023, 22:42
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Sending Nato MBT´s to Ukraine is just going to escalate the conflict, Scholz knows this, seems that the Americans have forgotten history, again.
Of course. Mr. Putin has some secret thing hidden in the closet that will change significantly the war. For some secret reasons, Mr. Putin has not used the secret thing in spite of 11 months of war where Russian army failed to take the capital and the weakness of their air and land weapons has been shown in HD videos around the world.

So, don't dare to send 40 YO tanks to Ukraine because the secret thing not yet used for secret reasons will be used, right?
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  #8755  
Old 24.01.2023, 22:56
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Of course. Mr. Putin has some secret thing hidden in the closet that will change significantly the war. For some secret reasons, Mr. Putin has not used the secret thing in spite of 11 months of war where Russian army failed to take the capital and the weakness of their air and land weapons has been shown in HD videos around the world.

So, don't dare to send 40 YO tanks to Ukraine because the secret thing not yet used for secret reasons will be used, right?
But it is no secret, the weapons are there. What part of a nato-Russia war are you having problems with understanding?
But we have done this to exhaustion for almost a year and the war is still on. Russia hasn’t chucked in the towel. Ukraine is being supported by NATO and nato is willing to fight Russia till the last Ukrainian.
At what point is Putin going to say something along the lines of: „ah fornicate it?
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Old 24.01.2023, 23:01
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

Aaaaaand we loop back to post #8739...
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  #8757  
Old 24.01.2023, 23:19
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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"World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?"

WW3... unfortunately.
Ah, thee of little faith.

Look. We appease Putin, we're fskd. We don't appease Putin, worst case, we're fsked.

Now while some of you may welcome our new Soviet overlords, I think the odds are with us. It's not "better dead than red", rather "there's a much better chance of not being red, than dead".

And since we can invidually and personally do F.A. about it, I prefer to think positive.
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Old 24.01.2023, 23:26
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Ah, thee of little faith.

Look. We appease Putin, we're fskd. We don't appease Putin, worst case, we're fsked.

Now while some of you may welcome our new Soviet overlords, I think the odds are with us. It's not "better dead than red", rather "there's a much better chance of not being red, than dead".

And since we can invidually and personally do F.A. about it, I prefer to think positive.
It’s not about appeasement. More like after „A“ for Apple and „B“ for bunny, we get to „N“ for nuke before ending with “Z“ for Zombie apocalypse.
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Old 24.01.2023, 23:33
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Of course. Mr. Putin has some secret thing hidden in the closet that will change significantly the war. For some secret reasons, Mr. Putin has not used the secret thing in spite of 11 months of war where Russian army failed to take the capital and the weakness of their air and land weapons has been shown in HD videos around the world.

So, don't dare to send 40 YO tanks to Ukraine because the secret thing not yet used for secret reasons will be used, right?
Another red line being bent

"Switzerland Takes Step to Allow Arms Re-Exports to Ukraine"

One big problem was the blockage of the Swiss-made ammo for the Gepard self-propelled anti-aircraft guns so effective against drones.
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  #8760  
Old 25.01.2023, 08:14
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Re: World War 3 or just a local spat in Ukraine?

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Another red line being bent

"Switzerland Takes Step to Allow Arms Re-Exports to Ukraine"

One big problem was the blockage of the Swiss-made ammo for the Gepard self-propelled anti-aircraft guns so effective against drones.
One other aspect is that it would take around three to six months to train a crew to convert to either the Abrams or the LeoII tank and only on a basic level and only if the crew has received tank training on the Soviet tanks.
The US has opened a tank training ground in Poland where "Polish" tankists are to be trained on Abrams.
So what methods are going to be used to make sure that these nice new Leo´s are not good target practice as soon as they are fielded?
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