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View Poll Results: What would you personally prefer to happen?
I want the UK to stay in an ever-closer union 49 23.11%
I want the UK to stay in a loosely connected EU 68 32.08%
I want the UK out because the EU is bad for the UK 22 10.38%
I want the UK out because the EU is a bad thing 23 10.85%
I want the UK out because this would be good for the rest of us 17 8.02%
I don't really care 33 15.57%
Voters: 212. You may not vote on this poll

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  #4481  
Old 03.08.2016, 23:16
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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It seems that some of the "Brexiters" are getting a bit uneasy now.
If Brits get used to eating a lot of Scottish salmon to keep the fishing industry running, Brexit should go all right.
  #4482  
Old 03.08.2016, 23:38
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Difficult to find direct comparisons.

Since 1997 Icelandic fish catches have declined 40%
Source (page 14)

Since 1994 UK fish catches have declined 14%
Source
As I understand it fish consumption right across Europe has been in decline for well over 20 years, so that should not be too surprising!
  #4483  
Old 04.08.2016, 13:19
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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My point was the EU pretty much screwed up the UK fishing industry. Whereas in Iceland, Greenland and Norway it thrived, precisely because they weren't members of the EU.
Show your numbers, and remember to include data on fish in the seas in total (see Überfischung).
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  #4484  
Old 04.08.2016, 13:26
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Show your numbers, and remember to include data on fish in the seas in total (see Überfischung).
Where can I send my invoice if I do so?
  #4485  
Old 04.08.2016, 13:32
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Where can I send my invoice if I do so?
UKIP,
Lexdrum House,
King Charles Business Park,
Newton Abbot, Devon
TQ12 6UT
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  #4486  
Old 04.08.2016, 14:15
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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If Brits get used to eating a lot of Scottish salmon to keep the fishing industry running, Brexit should go all right.
True but not much to do with our topic of fishing rights and fishermen. 90% of Scottish salmon comes from fish farms.
  #4487  
Old 04.08.2016, 14:18
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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True but not much to do with our topic of fishing rights and fishermen. 90% of Scottish salmon comes from fish farms.
Don't let facts get in the way of fun - go and speak to a teacher in your free time if you want serious stuff and leave us alone with our own disney channel.
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  #4488  
Old 04.08.2016, 17:01
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

"Take back control", they said.

"Carney: more than a quarter of a million people are now forecast to lose their jobs" (source: BBC Economics Editor, Kamal Ahmed)

Ireland moves to poach research talent from Britain in wake of Brexit

This really sums up the attitude of a lot of Brexiters commenting on pro-Remain Facebook pages (e.g. Scientists for EU, Britain Stronger in Europe, Keep Britain in the EU, Reasons2Remain):
People who blamed everything on EU before referendum now angry if anything blamed on Brexit
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  #4489  
Old 04.08.2016, 20:07
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

So, was the BOE interest rate cut too much, or too little?
  #4490  
Old 04.08.2016, 20:32
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

Three Brexit ministers - Mr Johnson, the foreign secretary, David Davis, the Brexit secretary, and Liam Fox, international trade secretary.

I wonder how they will divide the Brexit work between them, who does what?

David Davis has the title Brexit secretary so could take the lead but only a third of the people in the Foreign Office European directorate moved over to him. Consequently Boris has more "European" people and anyway is the more senior in the Cabinet hierarchy.

Lots of scope for disputes over responsibilities
  #4491  
Old 04.08.2016, 20:40
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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So, was the BOE interest rate cut too much, or too little?

The expected drop in the rate of economic growth of 75% has been met head on by creating 120 billion GBP and dropping interest rates, just like that. And the banks have been ordered to make sure it is spent. Reminds me of Japan in the 90's.
  #4492  
Old 04.08.2016, 20:49
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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So, was the BOE interest rate cut too much, or too little?
It is now the lowest for 322 years

The BOE Governor Carney told reporters in London today. “Indicators have all fallen sharply, in most cases to levels last seen in the financial crisis, and in some cases to all-time lows.

"“a majority of members expect to support a further cut in bank rate to its effective lower bound” later this year"

The central bank cut its growth forecast for next year (for the third time this year ) to 0.8 percent from 2.3 percent and lowered its 2018 prediction to 1.8 percent from 2.3 percent.

The easing arrives amid mounting signs that quitting the EU is having an adverse impact on the U.K. economy.

My answer is that rates were not cut enough and will be cut again.
  #4493  
Old 04.08.2016, 20:59
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

I really hope Mrs May keeps a grain of common sense and does not continue with Brexit. The Referendum was not binding on the government, and it's time to accept that Brexit will cause a deep and long depression, before Britain can be turned around again.
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  #4494  
Old 04.08.2016, 21:11
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

In the last week or so, I've seen two former colleagues who voted Leave, whinging their traps off on facey B about holiday money exchange rates. They still can't join the dots though. One of them keeps posting photos of her 'adult colouring in', and in my head I'm screaming... "Get a freakin' dot to dot book you imbecile!!!"
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  #4495  
Old 04.08.2016, 23:01
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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It seems that some of the "Brexiters" are getting a bit uneasy now they see where we are and where we are (not) going; it will soon settle down as we drift into what looks to become a very long, boring and tedious process.
It's not clear who you're referring to there, but as a Leave voter, I'm well aware -- and always have been -- that the negotiation process with the EU will take at least 2 years. I don't know anyone, on either side, who expected this to be quick. Naturally, there is uncertainty, and that uncertainty will create more volatility than normal. Despite this expected lack of clarity, the FTSE is still higher than where we were on the Monday after the referendum. It may not stay up there, but so be it. It's when things dip that opportunities arise.

Let's see where we are in 5 years, not 5 weeks.
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  #4496  
Old 04.08.2016, 23:07
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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In the last week or so, I've seen two former colleagues who voted Leave, whinging their traps off on facey B about holiday money exchange rates. They still can't join the dots though. One of them keeps posting photos of her 'adult colouring in', and in my head I'm screaming... "Get a freakin' dot to dot book you imbecile!!!"
Swings and roundabouts. Sure, a weak pound may well affect holiday spending money but tell them to look at what it's done for the value of their pension pots. Mine is worth 10% more than what it was after the referendum weekend.

Last edited by Pachyderm; 06.08.2016 at 10:10. Reason: Ambiguity removed
  #4497  
Old 04.08.2016, 23:23
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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It's not clear who you're referring to there, but as a Leave voter, I'm well aware -- and always have been -- that the negotiation process with the EU will take at least 2 years. I don't know anyone, on either side, who expected this to be quick. Naturally, there is uncertainty, and that uncertainty will create more volatility than normal. Despite this expected lack of clarity, the FTSE is still higher than where we were on the Monday after the referendum. It may not stay up there, but so be it. It's when things dip that opportunities arise.

Let's see where we are in 5 years, not 5 weeks.
"Let's see where we are in 5 years, not 5 weeks." OK, but it is 7 weeks

"the negotiation process with the EU will take at least 2 years." Looking like 3 or 4 now plus...

Last edited by marton; 04.08.2016 at 23:38.
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  #4498  
Old 04.08.2016, 23:37
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Swings and roundabouts. Sure, a weak pound may well affect holiday spending money but tell them to look at what it's done for the value of their pension pots. Mine is worth more than 10% what it was after the referendum weekend.
UK’s pension funding hole hits £900bn after Brexit Source.
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Old 04.08.2016, 23:40
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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"Let's see where we are in 5 years, not 5 weeks." OK, but it is 7 weeks

"the negotiation process with the EU will take at least 2 years." Looking like 3 or 4 now plus...
Have you thought about shorting some British financial securities? It might help you turn your gloom into glee one way or another.
  #4500  
Old 05.08.2016, 08:40
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Re: The Brexit referendum thread: potential consequences for GB, EU and the Brits in

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Swings and roundabouts. Sure, a weak pound may well affect holiday spending money but tell them to look at what it's done for the value of their pension pots. Mine is worth more than 10% what it was after the referendum weekend.
It's lost nearly 90% of its value?
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