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View Poll Results: Is Le Pen going to win and will France vote to leave EU?
Yes she wins, Yes Fradieu 7 17.50%
Yes she wins, but France stays 10 25.00%
No she loses, but Fradieu 0 0%
No she loses, France stays or no referendum 23 57.50%
Voters: 40. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old 28.06.2016, 14:37
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Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

cos we luurrve polls!
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  #2  
Old 28.06.2016, 14:38
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

Why would the French leave?

In their own tiny little minds they feel they have conquered Europe and set up the Empire that Napolean so dreamed of.
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Old 28.06.2016, 14:39
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

Because they don't want to share the garlic
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  #4  
Old 28.06.2016, 14:40
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

Spelling mistake: EXIT => EXCITÉ. It's France we're talking about.
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  #5  
Old 28.06.2016, 14:42
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

as long as the french can have a nice government shop, 35 hours working week and a lot of days off, they will definitely stay.

btw, it wouldn't be a voting but of course a strike
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Old 28.06.2016, 15:17
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

no need for Francadieu now as UK already exited. Unless Mdm wins (which is not likely at the moment due to the election process) I don't see anyone else to try a referendum.

I do feel sorry for the Brits though
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Old 28.06.2016, 15:36
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

In the past, centrist governments in France have often tried to stem the FN's success by moving to the right and adopting some of the more acceptable FN policies, often in watered down form. This policy has succeeded in temporarily driving back the FN, but at the expense of said policies becoming mainstream which in the longer run the FN could claim as a success.

If French public opinion shifts towards a Frexit, expect a number of politicians to jump onto the bandwaggon.
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Old 28.06.2016, 16:18
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

I think many people in France who might have considered Fradieu (I would have used "Fortie") have probably reconsidered when they saw what happened across the Channel after the Brexit vote.

Another thing that will also help is this. Cameron may have opposed Brexit, but many in his party didn't. If there were a Fradieu referendum, Hollande would give the "Remain" side the full court press that Cameron never did.
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Old 28.06.2016, 17:01
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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I think many people in France who might have considered Fradieu (I would have used "Fortie") have probably reconsidered when they saw what happened across the Channel after the Brexit vote.

Another thing that will also help is this. Cameron may have opposed Brexit, but many in his party didn't. If there were a Fradieu referendum, Hollande would give the "Remain" side the full court press that Cameron never did.
Yes, but by the time the French vote comes, Britain will have already bounced back
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Old 28.06.2016, 18:48
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

I can't see this happening.
France has many problems - the EU is the least of them IMO.

Industry declining, public-sector growing, rising taxes on the middle-class, reforms blocked by unions...the list is very long.
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  #11  
Old 28.06.2016, 22:40
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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Spelling mistake: EXIT => EXCITÉ. It's France we're talking about.
for a start if you use an é it would mean they already left, further more as far as I know the word exit doesn't excist in French, it would be something like sortie ...... how ever, what I would like to know before I even start thinking about this is: Does France have the same system like GB? Meaning, if the people vote out the governement will stall and decide to stay in?

I like the Fradieu by eddieja1

Last edited by curley; 28.06.2016 at 22:44. Reason: addition
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  #12  
Old 28.06.2016, 22:42
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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for a start if you use an é it would mean they already left,
No, "excité" just means they are horny. (masc. or mixed plural: excités) It's France we're talking about.
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  #13  
Old 28.06.2016, 22:46
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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No, "excité" just means they are horny. (masc. or mixed plural: excités)
hmmmm, I think you mean excité

yeah, right you did the second time :-)

3. Person mehrzahl is mixed plural in English? Funny, LOL

Last edited by curley; 28.06.2016 at 22:48. Reason: addition
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  #14  
Old 28.06.2016, 22:52
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

what are you talking about. I made a joke with the word "excité" in my first message, I don't know how many understood it but you made me explain it, that's all.
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  #15  
Old 28.06.2016, 22:56
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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what are you talking about. I made a joke with the word "excité" in my first message, I don't know how many understood it but you made me explain it, that's all.
You forgot the emoji, so the joke was missed, methinks.
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  #16  
Old 28.06.2016, 23:00
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

With their labour laws, no way they're leaving. The lefties will vote centre/right... whatever it takes. Says a lot about the state of western politics these days
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Old 29.06.2016, 00:00
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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With their labour laws, no way they're leaving. The lefties will vote centre/right... whatever it takes. Says a lot about the state of western politics these days
So you'd rather the left voted left or abstained even if it meant letting in the National Front? wtf? It hurt the left to vote Chirac in 2002, but they did it to keep Le Pen out. Seems like the correct thing to do to me. Please tell me how I'm wrong.
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Old 29.06.2016, 00:06
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

Maybe it's just me, but EF threads about France always make "Allo, Allo" look like a model of sophisticated wit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%27Allo_%27Allo!

PS Bias alert: I'm busy applying for a French passport
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  #19  
Old 29.06.2016, 00:21
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

They can have a referendum, but not invoke Article 50. They could then use it to hold the EU in check. That kind of sounds like the kind of complication the French enjoy.

Every EU country should have an exit referendum in its pocket.
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Old 29.06.2016, 07:43
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Re: Place your bets Le Pen and French Exit

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Yes, but by the time the French vote comes, Britain will have already bounced back
I don't think so. The negative effects of Brexit are real, severe, and happening now no matter how much the right is trying to ignore the evidence of their own eyes. France won't repeat the UK' s mistake, but it may just be England before all this is over.
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