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View Poll Results: Will Trump be a good President?
Yes 71 27.41%
No 188 72.59%
Voters: 259. You may not vote on this poll

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  #5341  
Old 27.02.2017, 08:58
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Link

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The Wall Street Journal reported the White House reviewed the report but believed it wasn't done well enough and was too political. The report stated "country of citizenship is unlikely to be a reliable indicator of potential terrorist activity."

"The president asked for an intelligence assessment. This is not the intelligence assessment the president asked for," a senior administration official told the Journal.
So, in short, even the Department of Homeland Security dont agree with the reasons for the Muslim travel ban.

This is getting embarrassing for him now.
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  #5342  
Old 27.02.2017, 09:38
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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So, in short, even the Department of Homeland Security dont agree with the reasons for the Muslim travel ban.

This is getting embarrassing for him now.
Basically they said that nationality was not a good indicator for forecasting terrorists.
If nationality was a good guide then looking at the following table of ISIS fighters you would probably ban most of W. Europe plus many other countries
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  #5343  
Old 27.02.2017, 10:56
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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It's shoddy journalism, cannot be proven and unnecessarily anti-Trump.
I think it can. Not in an absolute sense but with a very high level of confidence. If the effect is present, randomized sequence should show clear differences.
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It is free. They can write what they want, and Trump can welcome into the White House who he wants.
That would be accurate if he were a private person, but not as a public figure.
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  #5344  
Old 27.02.2017, 11:13
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Had an e-mail from my Trump voting cousin in the USA, replying to mine thanking her for my b-day present, and saying how so many of us in Europe are distrought and concerned about Trump, and here is part of her reply:....

......

..Just can't think how to reply- but OH and I have come to the conclusion it is just best not to reply at all. Sad - there will be no visit to the USA as planned.

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i see...so just because you dont agree with a particular editorial choice, you should treat them as persona non grata.


see what I did there?
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  #5345  
Old 27.02.2017, 11:40
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Is it any wonder the BBC weren't invited when they print shite like this?

http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-39082465
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Primacy is a fairly well documented effect in survey and form completion, and might have some impact on voter choice. It's not shite. it might have had an impact in some of the close races. Unfortunately, no way to prove it. Forms like this should always be randomized.
Loz, the BBC article references studies done by Jon A Krosnick, a respected voice in the field of public opinion research.

Let's take the emotions of current politics out of this and look at a paper by Krosnick and Joanne M Miller published in 1998:

https://pprg.stanford.edu/wp-content...-outcomes1.pdf

The influence of primacy and recency cannot be separated from several other factors, the issue is a complex one. But that complexity aside, as Edot says - because we have seen that position may have an effect, 'best practice' is that a survey (or ballot) should be randomized to try to minimize that effect.

---

Just for fun, a question for my fellow Americans living overseas: How did you decide who to vote for when casting your vote for lesser-known local offices, for instance, that long list of judges?

---

(And veering off topic, one of the reasons I get a tad hot under the collar when I see the all too often jibberish masquerading as surveys that folks from time to time attempt to post here is that design matters, and can influence outcome.)
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  #5346  
Old 27.02.2017, 12:10
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

I have no proof, but I remember reading once that people change names (in the UK) so they appear higher in the list. There is a link between success and where you appear, this has been proven.

I read an interview the other week that Christoph Blochers' Daughter uses her married name of Martullo for all business related purposes, but when she wanted to become a politician she appeared on the list as Martullo-Blocher.

Everything helps when it comes to voting.
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  #5347  
Old 27.02.2017, 12:50
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Globalresearch.ca? Seriously? It's one of the worst conspiracy sites in existance.
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  #5348  
Old 27.02.2017, 13:00
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Globalresearch.ca? Seriously? It's one of the worst conspiracy sites in existance.
ok, shoot the messenger...

how about the NY Times or the Guardian?

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/30/o...bama.html?_r=0

https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...p-donald-trump
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  #5349  
Old 27.02.2017, 13:47
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Good to know Trump is copying Obama, long may it continue
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  #5350  
Old 27.02.2017, 13:54
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Good to know Trump is copying Obama, long may it continue
it just gets worse and worse..

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02-2...-media/8306262
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  #5351  
Old 27.02.2017, 14:18
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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I have no proof, but I remember reading once that people change names (in the UK) so they appear higher in the list. There is a link between success and where you appear, this has been proven.
Back in the days when we relied on phone books, my first job was for a photography company called Acorn, and they only chose that because Aardvark was already taken.
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  #5352  
Old 27.02.2017, 14:21
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

It's ironic. Trump's success in part, is due to the massive amounts of coverage he got while on the campaign trail - seriously, every fart was reported. He got lots of free coverage and top of mind name recognition. So the media created their own monster in a sense, and now they have to deal with it.

In the long run, I hope it will improve reporting and media ethics and the way political campaigns are covered in the future. But for now, it's going to be a bumpy ride.
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  #5353  
Old 27.02.2017, 14:56
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

It didn't take long for misuse and open enrichment to start, see 0:32
I just wonder how long it will take for open corruption.

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  #5354  
Old 27.02.2017, 15:39
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Do as I say, not do as I do!

Quote:
White House press secretary Sean Spicer recently checked his aides' cell phones to ensure they weren't communicating with reporters
He informed them that the use of encrypted texting apps, like Signal and Confide, was a violation of the Federal Records Act.
Source

Quote:
A number of senior White House officials, including press secretary Sean Spicer, have at one point downloaded the Confide messaging app.
BuzzFeed News found the phone numbers of Spicer, along with Hope Hicks, the director of strategic communications, via a feature that allows users to see friends who have already joined.
Source
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  #5355  
Old 27.02.2017, 15:45
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Do as I say, not do as I do!
He needed to check it out to recognize it when he sees it on someone else's phone
:-)


But in politics, rules rarely apply to those who create them. So no surprise here.
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  #5356  
Old 27.02.2017, 16:24
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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He informed them that the use of encrypted texting apps, like Signal and Confide, was a violation of the Federal Records Act.
This seems to be just one more lie.

Private conversations are probably not covered by the Federal Records Act, and even if they were the data can be forwarded up to 20 days later.

I didn't find a definition of the term "record" in the Federal Records Act reasonably quickly, but according to the Wiki article on the 2014 amendment it doesn't cover private conversations:

"The last provision forbids officers and employees of the executive branch from using personal email accounts for government business, unless the employee copies all emails to either the originating officer or employee's government email, or to an official government record system to be recorded and archived"
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  #5357  
Old 27.02.2017, 16:54
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Another day, another scandal.

Actually, hasn't been a full 24 hours since the last scandal.

Quote:
White House chief of staff Reince Priebus asked a top FBI official to dispute media reports that President Donald Trump's campaign advisers were frequently in touch with Russian intelligence agents during the election, a White House official said late Thursday
Quote:
The New York Times reported that U.S. agencies had intercepted phone calls last year between Russian intelligence officials and members of Trump's 2016 campaign team.
So, the FBI refuse to back up Trump.

There is not enough popcorn in the world.


In B4 someone says the AP cant be trusted either.
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  #5358  
Old 27.02.2017, 17:28
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Apparently Trump eats his steak well done and with ketchup.

To be honest this is the first negative I can see with him.
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  #5359  
Old 27.02.2017, 17:49
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Interesting article on Iowa voters, with many different perspectives:

These Iowans voted for Trump. Many of them are already disappointed.

Some quotes:

"I didn’t think he would come in blazing like he has,” said Godat, 39, who has three kids and works at the same aluminum rolling plant where his father worked. “It seems almost like a dictatorship at times. He’s got a lot of controversial stuff going on and rather than thinking it through, I’m afraid that he’s jumping into the frying pan with both feet.”

“He’s really hurting us, even though everybody around here is conservative,” Schurbon said, thumping his bottle of Budweiser on the table to emphasize some of his points. “When you cut off trade, that cuts off everything. Where do our crops go? They don’t stay here.”

“Everybody might at least try. At least a little bit. Just try and help,” he said. “You don’t have to agree with him, but you don’t have to just completely block him, everything he’s doing.”

I thought this one was funny, especially when, much too often, Americans abroad complain that locals don't speak English

The group mostly agreed that mass deportations of undocumented immigrants would tank the state’s economy, although they wondered why immigrants don’t learn English before coming to the United States.
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  #5360  
Old 27.02.2017, 17:58
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Is conscription or national service next? History repeating itself...

Quote:
Trump seeks 'historic increase' in U.S. defense spending, cuts elsewhere
Trump will seek to boost Pentagon spending by $54 billion in his first budget proposal and slash the same amount from non-defense spending, including a large reduction in foreign aid, a White House budget official said.


"This budget will be a public safety and national security budget," Trump told state governors at the White House. "It will include an historic increase in defense spending to rebuild the depleted military of the United States of America at a time we most need it," he said.


The U.S. military is already the world's most powerful fighting force and the United States spends far more than any other country on defense.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-us...-idUSKBN1661R2
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