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View Poll Results: Will Trump be a good President?
Yes 69 27.27%
No 184 72.73%
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  #6981  
Old 27.04.2017, 08:13
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Well, if they ever build that water park they've been going on about for years, that would be open year round.

Also, the hotels attached to EP are open year round.
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  #6982  
Old 27.04.2017, 08:16
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Well, if they ever build that water park they've been going on about for years, that would be open year round.

Also, the hotels attached to EP are open year round.
What about when the temp is below zero? Could still work for the water slides, but i wouldn't fancy hitting the pool at the bottom!
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  #6983  
Old 27.04.2017, 08:18
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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What about when the temp is below zero? Could still work for the water slides, but i wouldn't fancy hitting the pool at the bottom!
Dunno...pretty sure it would be heated, a la Alpamare. Im not sure the whole park would be outdoor either, im certain there would be a significant indoor bit too.
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  #6984  
Old 27.04.2017, 10:39
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Quote:
Overall, 44% say they approve of Trump's handling of the presidency, 54% disapprove.
That 44% marker puts Trump last among approval ratings for newly-elected presidents at the 100-day point since modern polling began, a trendline that runs back to Dwight Eisenhower.
Trump is last by a significant margin, trailing Bill Clinton's previous low by 11 points.
Source

Trump re-announced yesterday his campaign promises about tax cuts. But without any firm details about how he would fund the cuts or any firm implementation dates so there was no positive reaction in the markets.

Trump also announced he would not implement his campaign promise to cancel NAFTA; instead he will "re-negotiate".
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  #6985  
Old 27.04.2017, 16:50
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Of course you can say that but it does not really help to understand how well the 9th performs.
For example, in the 12 months leading up to March, 31, 2015, just under 12,000 cases were filed in the 9th Circuit. Despite that gigantic docket, the Supreme Court heard just 11 cases from the 9th Circuit in 2015, reversing eight.

For far more boring details read here.

So Trump tweeting "the Ninth Circuit, which has a terrible record of being overturned" is just another Trump lie.
While a lie in the absolute sense it's not that far from the truth - I would rate this as a half-truth.

Here's an analysis by the American Bar Association (americanbar.org) on 1999-2008. I find the grading on the first and the charts on the last page the most informative.

What I find striking:
i) 9th is by far the largest circuit
ii) 9th has the 3rd highest review rate
iii) 9th has the 2nd highest reversal rate
iv) only the Federal Circuit has worse review and reversal rates (ranks 2nd and 1st, respectively)

Perhaps i-iii are correlated? Perhaps funding can't keep up with rising number of cases so quality deteriorates? Current trends in politics (budget cuts and and leaving positions empty aren't exactly new) may well be instrumental in what Trump complains about but of course he doesn't say.

From the Federal Bar Assiciation (fedbar.org):
"The FBA has urged Congressional appropriations leaders to approve the Federal Judiciary's emergency request for $73 million in current year funding to mitigate the impact of automatic budget cuts."
"The Federal Judiciary publicly announced the transmittal of its request to OMB for a $72.9 million emergency supplemental appropriation. Read the letter of transmittal."
"FBA Leaders Urge Congress to Act on Court Funding, Judicial Vacancies"

You can cut spending only so far without facing the consequences.

Last edited by Urs Max; 27.04.2017 at 17:17.
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  #6986  
Old 27.04.2017, 17:01
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

To expand on my previous post:

A quick comparison of growth 1999-2008 for the districts shows that the 9th had 2nd largest growth in cases by 47%, close behind the 2nd with 52%. 1st circuit had 34% growth and the 3rd 25%.

Conversely eight districts had growth of less than 10%, thereof 6 with actually reduced number of cases.
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  #6987  
Old 27.04.2017, 17:54
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

BBC Hard Talk is repeating old programmes at the moment to celebrate its 20-year anniversary, and I caught the last few minutes of this 1998 interview with Donald Trump the other day. He actually seemed rather sane and reasonable.
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  #6988  
Old 28.04.2017, 13:24
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Quote:
House GOP leaders, despite a furious push Thursday, were unable to wrangle the votes necessary to move forward on their latest effort to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act.

The development short-circuits, yet again, the House effort to repeal the cornerstone domestic achievement of President Barack Obama.

It guarantees President Donald Trump will be without a cornerstone legislative achievement on his 100th day in office -- a symbolic moment that the White House has focused on intently in recent days as negotiations on a revised health care proposal accelerated.

"There will be no vote tomorrow [Friday]," House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy told reporters
It will be a tremendous diplomatic achievement for Trump if he does eventually get this legislation through the House.
The issue is there are two opposing groups of Republicans; Conservatives and moderates, if Trump makes a concession to one side then he just makes it harder for the other side to agree.
Needs a very clever diplomat to negotiate this one.

Anyway if it passes in the House there is no guarantee it will pass in the Senate
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  #6989  
Old 28.04.2017, 16:26
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Great, Trump thinks he's about to start a major, major conflict.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-39741671

And the US government is about to shut down.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-39742792

Great way to run a war.
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  #6990  
Old 28.04.2017, 18:06
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Great, Trump thinks he's about to start a major, major conflict.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-39741671

And the US government is about to shut down.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-39742792

Great way to run a war.
Not quite. He "fears" a major conflict and the congress is trying to avert a shut down. I'm no fan of Trump or Congress, but I just find this interpretation to be a wee bit sensationalist.
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  #6991  
Old 28.04.2017, 18:31
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Trump's "low taxes" plan is doomed before it's even been born. Or does he think an "accelerated national debt" plan would be a good idea too?

All I'm seeing so far is very short-term thinking with no means of implementing his "ideas" anyway... border wall, repeal Obamacare, lower taxes, etc. ad infinitum.
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  #6992  
Old 28.04.2017, 18:42
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Trump's "low taxes" plan is doomed before it's even been born. Or does he think an "accelerated national debt" plan would be a good idea too?

All I'm seeing so far is very short-term thinking with no means of implementing his "ideas" anyway... border wall, repeal Obamacare, lower taxes, etc. ad infinitum.
Dude has the attention span of a flea.
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  #6993  
Old 28.04.2017, 19:03
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Complaining now that he 'misses his old life, and it is much harder than he tought' doh toodle doh

Someone take him out of there before he pushes the bl****y button, or pushes some other moron to do so...
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  #6994  
Old 28.04.2017, 20:52
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Complaining now that he 'misses his old life, and it is much harder than he tought' doh toodle doh

Someone take him out of there before he pushes the bl****y button, or pushes some other moron to do so...
A little bit of devil's advocacy. An interesting opinion piece here:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/willing-l...090022380.html

I think he has the ability to evolve, but for me I wonder how much the Republicans can evolve as a party to get things done. It seems the conservative and moderate factions are hindering their own party and president more effectively than the Democrats could dream of doing.
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  #6995  
Old 28.04.2017, 22:13
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Shutdown averted.

...for a week, at least.

I'll be in Florida for business (thankfully, nowhere near Palm Beach!) almost all of May and will hopefully miss the ensuing sh*t show.
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  #6996  
Old 30.04.2017, 12:06
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

"Trump rallies supporters in Pennsylvania " He still seems to be in election mode, repeating campaign promises, bashing Democrats and fake news.

There was an Emerson poll back in February that claimed more people believed the White House than main stream media.

If that is still so then it will be good for Trump's mid term election hopes.

Where that leaves the US in the greater scheme of things I do not know; where will people find the "truth" after Trump has gone?

Many people cannot evaluate which internet sources are reputable and most of the sources are "straw men" with few financial assets.
At least the main stream media can be sued if they step too far out of line; look at the $3 million it is claimed the Daily Mail paid Melanie Trump.
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  #6997  
Old 01.05.2017, 09:32
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

From the rumours published it seems the US budget is agreed until September and contains reasonable content; now just has to be voted on!

Some points
Quote:
The plan would add billions for the Pentagon and border security but would not provide any money for President Donald Trump's promised border wall with Mexico,

There is no money provided for a deportation force

There are no cuts of federal monies to so-called sanctuary cities.

There are no cuts to funding for Planned Parenthood

A permanent fix for miners health insurance

Provide $295 million for Puerto Rico Medicaid.

The Obama care subsidies will stay in place as Republicans continue their long-stalled effort to repeal Obamacare,
Source

Looks like a comprehensive "lose" for Trump if these stories are true.

Demonstrates how little real power the President has; he needs to woo and win over both parties in the House and Senate to pass any legislation.

I just hope he keeps off Twitter and does not bash the Democrats this week so they stay on song!
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  #6998  
Old 01.05.2017, 09:46
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Looks like a comprehensive "lose" for Trump if these stories are true.
Except for the increase in military spending. According to Medea's 2nd link 30bln had been proposed.
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  #6999  
Old 01.05.2017, 10:05
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Except for the increase in military spending. According to Medea's 2nd link 30bln had been proposed.
As I posted in another thread they agreed an extra 12.5Bn for defense versus 30Bn proposed, if you want to label that as a win I will not fight it
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  #7000  
Old 01.05.2017, 10:14
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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As I posted in another thread they agreed an extra 12.5Bn for defense versus 30Bn proposed, if you want to label that as a win I will not fight it
That's some 5% annualized increase, isn't it? On top of an already increased budget. So yes, in fairness I think it counts as a win.
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