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View Poll Results: Will Trump be a good President?
Yes 71 27.41%
No 188 72.59%
Voters: 259. You may not vote on this poll

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  #9241  
Old 27.09.2017, 19:58
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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...Now the question on everybody's lips is "Was this a one off or is Trump's base turning against him?"

Last time ca. 1.3 million voted for Trump as President but this time only around half a million voted in this race between two GOP candidates so was a low turnout despite the many millions spent by the Establishment to support Strange...
Primaries are an oddity. They almost always have abysmal turnout, yet if you think about it they are the more important of the two races (primary vs. general). Primaries are where each party chooses who will be the candidate in the general election. Choose a solid candidate in the primary and you have better odds in the general.

In this case, I'm inclined to say that most folks didn't care who won the primary so they didn't show up in big numbers. Election days are on work days for most people, so you have to be motivated to go to the polls. Turnout in the fall will be higher, and then we'll have more of a sense whether Trump's base is bailing. Dems should be cautious and not just assume everyone is going to turn on Trump and the Rs. They have work to do if they want votes.

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The US Inland Revenue Service..
That's the Internal Revenue Service.

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Nice he has time to tweet this sort of thing while neglected US citizens in Puerto Rico are dying
  • ...
  • No electricity means no power to pump water into homes, no water to bathe or flush toilets.
And no power for medical machines such as life support and dialysis.

It does take time to get resources to islands, but if any country has the ability with such a massive military and resources, the U.S. should be it. I'm disappointed with the administration's response so far.

Meanwhile let's keep talking about whether or not professional sports players stand or kneel for the national anthem.

An excerpt of an interview Bob Costas (veteran news anchor for NBC) gave on CNN about the whole NFL ruckus here: http://edition.cnn.com/videos/us/201...ets-political/

I think he really nailed it, and one can even argue it extends beyond sports games to the change in country attitude as a whole.
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  #9242  
Old 27.09.2017, 20:32
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Pity it is not Friday



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Now I understand why he made so many mistakes completing his security clearance request form
He self identified as a female that day. Stop being so binary.
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  #9243  
Old 28.09.2017, 00:16
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 11 hours ago

With one Yes vote in hospital & very positive signs from Alaska and two others (McCain is out), we have the HCare Vote, but not for Friday!
Interested to guess what Trump might be talking about?

Assuming the hospitalised Senator mentioned is Sen. Thad Cochran (who is not actually hospitalised!) then Trump has 47 votes (not including Cochran) which is short of the minimum 50 needed
So who has the HCare Vote?
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  #9244  
Old 28.09.2017, 06:32
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Academics have always been able to move between countries fairly freely and I don't think this will change. Trump is clamping down on blue collar migration, not on high flying academics and nobel laureates.
Not sure if you tried to get a work visa for USA lately. A good friend of us couldn't get one due to exceeded quotas I think (old EU citizen btw, from a neighbouring country to CH) and he was offered a very good job at one of the top US companies. It's not a tragedy, of course, as he continues to have a well payed job here, just saying. Really not "blue collar", I assure you...hehe.
And yeah, when it hits you, you start to understand where other people come from...maybe a humbling experience some people should have?

Last edited by greenmount; 28.09.2017 at 06:43.
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  #9245  
Old 28.09.2017, 11:09
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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McCain claims his opposition to healthcare is not personal but if you look at the long list of Trump tweets attacking him then you do have to wonder?
Wasn't McCain among the key politicians who made sure discussion was entered into by Congress? Doesn't sound like personal animosities to me.
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Here is a new "rule" that will definitely make the new immigrants feel welcome:

https://www.engadget.com/2017/09/26/...-social-media/
Apparently it's legal to monitor even naturalized citicen's online activities. But isn't communication protected if people connect via ADSL or even dial-up, fixed telephone line essentially?
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  #9246  
Old 28.09.2017, 11:18
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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This is a dream scenario for the Democrats. Bannon and his buddies will back wacky conservatives against staid, swamp-bound, standard issue Republicans for the 2018 mid-terms. And normal people will vote Democrat, even if the Dems do not manage to get their act together, which seems likely :-(. Goodbye GOP!
We can only hope. There is still a possibility that people simply won’t vote....not in the bag yet!
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  #9247  
Old 28.09.2017, 13:38
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Donald Trump on Wednesday unveiled an ambitious tax plan, proposing sweeping tax cuts for individuals and corporations in what the president dubbed a “once-in-a-generation” opportunity to overhaul America’s tax code.

Source

Trump's latest iteration is to turn socialist; announcing tax cuts without any indication of who will pay for them
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  #9248  
Old 28.09.2017, 14:11
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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In a major shock for Trump and the GOP - Moore, the anti-Establishment candidate, beat Luther Strange by 10 points!

(snip)

Now the question on everybody's lips is "Was this a one off or is Trump's base turning against him?"
Those who oppose Trump's ideology and approach to governance should not be happy about this. Moore is 'Trumpism' distilled - frighteningly so, read his bio. As Bannon said in a campaign speech, "A vote for Moore is a vote for Donald J Trump."

My own 2p: Trump might have been playing both sides. Or he made an endorsement with his usual (ahem) forethought and attention to detail and then wanted to back away but couldn't publicly. His support seemed to grow more lukewarm as the election approached. Bannon et al were campaigning for Moore in Trump's name. One wonders if they did so with Trump's approval...

The scariest take away came from Trevor Noah* (at ca. 09:10):

"Thanks to the race in Alabama for the first time we are seeing seeing that Trumpism can exist without Trump. Which is terrifying, because now it means that even once he is out of the picture his ideology, like his tweets, won't be so easy to delete."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JeaXaNiBcY

*As much as I enjoy watching Trevor and his colleagues for a bit of relief from the horror show, I so worry about where my country is headed when the most nuanced political commentary consistently comes from comedians...


---

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This is a dream scenario for the Democrats. Bannon and his buddies will back wacky conservatives against staid, swamp-bound, standard issue Republicans for the 2018 mid-terms. And normal people will vote Democrat, even if the Dems do not manage to get their act together, which seems likely :-(. Goodbye GOP!
One can but wish... but I fear the reality looks quite different.

Alabama is as red as it gets, and that will not change. Establishment Dems are apparently skeptical of putting resources into supporting Doug Jones, seemingly ready to concede the field without much of a fight. Another reason why the Democratic party needs new leadership, but that's another thread...

Roy Moore in the senate, and likely more of his ilk to follow... I for one am indeed frightened.

---

An interesting Politico article on the wider ramifications, for both parties, of Moore's victory and The Base's readiness to 'go to war':
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/0...ghtmare-243222
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  #9249  
Old 28.09.2017, 14:36
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

I find it curious that the left is so happy that somebody who is further right than Trump has scored a success.

Isn't this taking "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" to new levels of absurdity?
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Old 28.09.2017, 15:37
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

It's not new. It is not about progress and has never been from their side, only about power. So to label it new absurdity is a bit..sweet.
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Old 28.09.2017, 18:18
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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Donald Trump on Wednesday unveiled an ambitious tax plan, proposing sweeping tax cuts for individuals and corporations in what the president dubbed a “once-in-a-generation” opportunity to overhaul America’s tax code.

Source

Trump's latest iteration is to turn socialist; announcing tax cuts without any indication of who will pay for them
I am forced to stay up to date with this stuff and watch all the announcements, podcasts, commentaries, analysts reports,...you name it.

Sitting tight and eagerly anticipating actual information on "the details which will be left to Congress to figure out", e.g. how this will actually work. Specifically: who foots the bill, what is the actual math of decreasing government revenues, ballooning the debt, while gambling on a supposed miraculous level of economic growth in the USA to pick up the slack, and so forth.

It is a fact that tax reform is much needed. I, for one, am not in principle opposed to some of the proposed measures, for example I would love it if they repealed the Alternative Minimum Tax, and if they got rid of the aberration that is worldwide taxation, not just for corporations, but also for individuals. However, these and all other proposed measures have a social cost and a public debt cost, and so far it is not clear to me, despite all the "campaign talking", that the math has actually been run and that the social implications have been fully considered. Also, the math needs to be run based on realistic growth projections and also with stagnant economy and decline scenarios, to fully appreciate the effects. Maybe I ask too much?
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  #9252  
Old 28.09.2017, 20:10
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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I am forced to stay up to date with this stuff and watch all the announcements, podcasts, commentaries, analysts reports,...you name it.

Sitting tight and eagerly anticipating actual information on "the details which will be left to Congress to figure out", e.g. how this will actually work. Specifically: who foots the bill, what is the actual math of decreasing government revenues, ballooning the debt, while gambling on a supposed miraculous level of economic growth in the USA to pick up the slack, and so forth.

It is a fact that tax reform is much needed. I, for one, am not in principle opposed to some of the proposed measures, for example I would love it if they repealed the Alternative Minimum Tax, and if they got rid of the aberration that is worldwide taxation, not just for corporations, but also for individuals. However, these and all other proposed measures have a social cost and a public debt cost, and so far it is not clear to me, despite all the "campaign talking", that the math has actually been run and that the social implications have been fully considered. Also, the math needs to be run based on realistic growth projections and also with stagnant economy and decline scenarios, to fully appreciate the effects. Maybe I ask too much?
I agree that tax reform is much needed but Trump is not a man who gets into details, he is just looking for a "win". So who will drive the process to get a "good" result is not clear.

Anyway be comforted to know the estate duty changes alone will bring Trump and his Cabinet a "win" of $ Billions.
  • Trump’s estate would save $564 million, based on his estimated net worth of $3 billion.
  • Trump’s Commerce secretary choice, Wilbur Ross, might save about $545 million, based on his estimated net worth of $2.9 billion.
  • Trump’s education secretary choice Betsy DeVos, might save $900 million,
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Old 29.09.2017, 11:00
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

You may know that Merkel was re-elected this past Sunday. Trump didn't congratulate her until yesterday.




Presumably like in Charlottesville he wanted to get the facts first.
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  #9254  
Old 29.09.2017, 11:54
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

It is Friday so I get my best US commentary from Jim.

https://www.facebook.com/ComedyCentr...8462117787519/
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  #9255  
Old 29.09.2017, 19:38
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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"Facebook was always anti-Trump" What a very strange comment; Facebook like Twitter is a social media where individual people express their views.
There is no Facebook editorial policy

Nice he has time to tweet this sort of thing while neglected US citizens in Puerto Rico are dying
  • Water, food, and fuel are scarce on the island. The airports are a mess.
  • Power will be out for months in some places. The storm knocked out 80 percent of the island’s power transmission lines, the Associated Press reports. And as of Monday, nearly all of the island’s 1.57 million electricity customers were still without power.
  • Over 60,000 people have been without power for over 20 days because Irma knocked out their power and it was not fixed.
  • No electricity means no power to pump water into homes, no water to bathe or flush toilets. The Defense Department said Tuesday that only 56 percent of people on the island have potable water.
  • The storm knocked out 1,360 out of 1,600 cellphone towers on the island so there is little communication with the cut-off communities and nobody knows how many people died.
On Thursday afternoon, acting Homeland Security head Elaine Duke made Trump's task even more complicated.
Duke was asked by reporters at the White House whether she was satisfied with the federal government's response to Hurricane Maria and the devastation it has wrought.
Here's her answer: " I know it is really a good news story "

Source

San Juan (Puerto Rico's capital and largest city) Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz reacted with shock and anger to acting Homeland Security Secretary Elaine Duke on Friday, saying Puerto Rico's recovery is "not a good news story."

"This is a 'people are dying' story" she said in disbelief

Source
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Old 29.09.2017, 20:38
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

The washington Post sent me some stuff you might like to read.

Three things in life are certain: death, taxes and fact checking.
This week, President Trump unveiled his (still somewhat vague) tax plan. He delivered a major speech (filled with his favorite inaccurate claims) and his aides pushed the administration’s talking points about it.
First of all, nothing we saw in the announcement this week confirms Trump’s repeated claim that his tax plan will be the “biggest tax cut in U.S. history.” The details remain incomplete, but that’s a dubious claim when properly measured as a percentage of the nation’s gross domestic product.
‘The wealthy are not getting a tax cut’
This is one of the biggest myths spread by Trump and his aides. The wealthy pay most of the taxes, so unless the tax plan specifically leaves them untouched — which Trump’s plan does not — they will get big tax cuts.
On its face, this is a ridiculous statement to make for any plan that includes reductions in tax rates. That’s because federal income taxes are paid mostly by the wealthy. So when you cut income tax rates, it results in lots of dollars for the wealthiest taxpayers.
The Trump tax plan drops the top bracket from 39.6 to 35 percent, and allows for the possibility of a 25 percent top rate through a pass-through entity. It presumably would also eliminate a 3.8 percent Obamacare tax on investment income that only hits upper-income tax payers.
There are many other reasons, including these two major ones: The tax plan would eliminate the alternative minimum tax, which would be a boom for the wealthy. The plan also calls for eliminating the estate tax, though it’s unclear on whether any tax would be required when someone dies. Currently, the estate tax is only estimated to affect about 5,500 estates out of nearly 3 million estates because as much as $11 million can be shielded from taxation. We awarded Four Pinocchios (Lies).
Fact-checking Trump’s speech about his tax plan
Below are three key claims from Trump’s speech in Indianapolis. For more, read the full round-up.
“To protect millions of small businesses and the American farmer, we are finally ending the crushing, the horrible, the unfair estate tax, or as it is often referred to, the death tax.”
The president’s suggestion that “millions” of small businesses and farms are affected by the estate tax is absurd. Only 80 — that’s right, 80 — taxable estates would be farms and small businesses, according to the Tax Policy Center.
The number of estates affected by the tax has declined dramatically in recent years. In 1977, 139,000 estates had to pay the tax. In 2000, it was 52,000. But Congress has kept raising the exemption and lowering the tax rate. So for virtually all Americans, even farms and small businesses, the estate tax is just not a problem.
“A married couple won’t pay a dime in taxes on their first $24,000 of income. So a married couple, up to $24,000, can spend their money on their family, on their children, on what they have to do — so much better.”
It’s debatable that this would be much better for a middle-class couple with children — and it could be worse. The tax plan would nearly double the standard deduction, $12,000 for individuals and $24,000 for married couples, but also eliminate personal and dependent exemptions (currently $4,050 per family member).
So a couple with two children already don’t “pay a dime” on their first $28,800. That’s because they get $12,600 in a standard deduction and $16,200 in dependent and personal exemptions. It’s possible Trump’s expanded child tax credit might help make up some of the difference, but maybe not.
Lily Batchelder, a professor of public policy at New York University who was deputy director of the National Economic Council in 2014-2015, “conservatively” estimated in 2016 that “Trump’s plan would increase taxes for about 8.7 million families,” but the number could be as high as 11 million under “reasonable assumptions.” That analysis was based on Trump’s campaign plan, which envisioned a larger increase in the standard deduction ($30,000 for a married couple).
“The tax strategy that Ronald Reagan used to create an economic boom in the 1980s when our economy took off, the middle class thrived. And the family income of all families was increasing more and more, and it was a beautiful sight to behold.”
This is a flip-flop. He was always a fierce critic of the bill, Reagan’s Tax Reform Act of 1986, which he now calls “a beautiful sight to behold.” The law simplified tax brackets and eliminated tax shelters, and also lowered the top individual tax rate to 28 percent but raised the capital gains rate to the same level, giving them parity.
In the years following the law, Trump repeatedly blamed it for the savings and loan crisis, a decline in real estate investing and the 1990-1991 recession.
Trump also frequently attacked one of the Democratic sponsors of the bill, Sen. Bill Bradley (D-N.J.), including in a Wall Street Journal commentary in 1999. “Mr. Bradley’s last big idea to be enacted into legislation was also one of the worst ideas in recent history,” Trump wrote, saying Bradley was responsible for the elimination of a tax shelter for real estate investments. (He said the good parts of the bill could be attributed to Reagan.)
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Old 29.09.2017, 23:18
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Tom Price resigns as Secretary of HHS in the wake of the scandal over his chartering private planes:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/u...=top-news&_r=0
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Old 30.09.2017, 10:01
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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On Thursday afternoon, acting Homeland Security head Elaine Duke made Trump's task even more complicated.
Duke was asked by reporters at the White House whether she was satisfied with the federal government's response to Hurricane Maria and the devastation it has wrought.
Here's her answer: " I know it is really a good news story "

Source

San Juan (Puerto Rico's capital and largest city) Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz reacted with shock and anger to acting Homeland Security Secretary Elaine Duke on Friday, saying Puerto Rico's recovery is "not a good news story."

"This is a 'people are dying' story" she said in disbelief

Source
The mayor of San Juan (Puerto Rico Capital) lashed out at Trump administration on Friday, decrying its relief effort in the wake of hurricanes Jose and Maria and saying if it doesn’t solve the logistics “what we we are going to see is something close to a genocide”.

“We are dying here,” Carmen Yulín Cruz said at a press conference, speaking with tears in her eyes. “I cannot fathom the thought that the greatest nation in the world cannot figure out the logistics for a small island of 100 miles by 35 miles. So, mayday we are in trouble.”

Source
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Old 30.09.2017, 15:02
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

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The mayor of San Juan (Puerto Rico Capital) lashed out at Trump administration on Friday, decrying its relief effort in the wake of hurricanes Jose and Maria and saying if it doesn’t solve the logistics “what we we are going to see is something close to a genocide”.

“We are dying here,” Carmen Yulín Cruz said at a press conference, speaking with tears in her eyes. “I cannot fathom the thought that the greatest nation in the world cannot figure out the logistics for a small island of 100 miles by 35 miles. So, mayday we are in trouble.”

Source
President Trump on Saturday criticized Puerto Rico's "poor leadership" and defended his administration's response to the aftermath of Hurricane Maria's devastation on the island.

Following a plea for aid by San Juan's mayor, Trump said the mayor was being "nasty."

Source


This could be Trump's Katrina moment like Bush suffered!

Trump claims there are 10,000 helpers in Puerto Rico; other reports say 6,000 - clearly a confused situation.

Compare this with the US reaction to the Haiti earthquake where they had 22,000 troops there within two weeks.
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Old 30.09.2017, 15:56
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Re: Will Trump be a Good President?

Now we call call Kim Jong the " little fuc*ing rocket man"
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